Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Paços de Ferreira occupy a lower league position (16th place) but maintain a decent home record with a 50% draw rate and only 25% losses. Benfica II present better form over their last five matches (1.6 points per game) and a higher scoring efficiency (12% shot conversion rate vs 8% for the hosts). The key factor is the visitors' tendency to draw away from home (58% of their matches end in a stalemate), which, combined with similar average xG for both teams (1.6 vs 1.23) and an identical average of goals per game (2.5), strongly suggests a share of the points. The goal difference of both teams in their respective home/away splits (hosts -2, visitors 0) and a similar number of goals conceded (1.33 vs 1.25 per game) further support the draw scenario.
Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paços de Ferreira played Benfica II in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Paços de Ferreira: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Benfica II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paços de Ferreira scores 0.96 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Benfica II scores 1.44 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paços de Ferreira 46%, Benfica II 68%. Over 2.5: Paços de Ferreira 54%, Benfica II 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Benfica II has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.38. Paços de Ferreira: 12.3 shots per match, Benfica II: 14.0.
Match halves
Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Benfica II: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (8 goals). Benfica II: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which points towards a draw. Paços de Ferreira occupy a lower league position (16th place) but maintain a decent home record with a 50% draw rate and only 25% losses. Benfica II present better form over their last five matches (1.6 points per game) and a higher scoring efficiency (12% shot conversion rate vs 8% for the hosts). The key factor is the visitors' tendency to draw away from home (58% of their matches end in a stalemate), which, combined with similar average xG for both teams (1.6 vs 1.23) and an identical average of goals per game (2.5), strongly suggests a share of the points. The goal difference of both teams in their respective home/away splits (hosts -2, visitors 0) and a similar number of goals conceded (1.33 vs 1.25 per game) further support the draw scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paços de Ferreira | Benfica II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Benfica II is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.6 pts / match - Benfica II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Benfica II is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.44 goals / match - Benfica II
Benfica II is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.24 goals / match - Benfica II
Paços de Ferreira scores in 50% of matches (12 of 24 matches), while Benfica II keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Benfica II scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
Over / Under - Benfica II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Benfica II is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.48 pts / match - Benfica II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Benfica II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paços de Ferreira
Benfica II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Paços de Ferreira | Liga | Benfica II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.38 | 2.45 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 44% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paços de Ferreira 0 - 0 - 1 Benfica II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II?
The LigaPro match finished Paços de Ferreira 1:0 Benfica II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II?
Paços de Ferreira score 0.96 goals per game on average and Benfica II 1.44. The LigaPro average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Paços de Ferreira's matches and 68% of Benfica II's.
What form are Paços de Ferreira and Benfica II in?
Over the last 5 games Paços de Ferreira have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Benfica II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II?
The statistical background for Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.