Paços de Ferreira vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paços de Ferreira play Lusitania Lourosa in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 14 December 2025 at 19:00. Final score: 1:5.

Current form

Paços de Ferreira: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lusitania Lourosa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paços de Ferreira scores 1.00 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Lusitania Lourosa scores 1.29 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paços de Ferreira 47%, Lusitania Lourosa 62%. Over 2.5: Paços de Ferreira 50%, Lusitania Lourosa 59%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Paços de Ferreira has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.22. Paços de Ferreira: 12.8 shots per match, Lusitania Lourosa: 10.3.

Match halves

Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62. Lusitania Lourosa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (11 goals). Lusitania Lourosa: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 3
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
14Shots14
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
6Shots on target7
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
1.67xG1.62
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
2Corners3
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
51Dangerous attacks35
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
20Fouls16
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
3Cards1
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
1Goals scored / match1.29
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
1.41Goals conceded / match1.53
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
48%Average possession46%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
3.94Shots on target / match3.29
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.85Shots per match10.29
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
3.94Shots on target3.29
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
7.8%Shot conversion12.6%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
48%Possession46%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
1.44xG for1.22
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
1.68xG against1.53
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

Shooting quality

Paços de Ferreira: BalancedLusitania Lourosa: Counter-attacking
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paços de Ferreira is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 0.8 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa

Paços de Ferreira
WLLDW
Season result split
26% W35% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-12-13
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-7-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Lusitania Lourosa
LWDLL
Season result split
32% W29% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-13
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-8
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lusitania Lourosa is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.29 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa

Paços de Ferreira is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.53 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa

Paços de Ferreira scoring profile: strong

Paços de Ferreira scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Lusitania Lourosa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Lusitania Lourosa scoring profile: very strong

Lusitania Lourosa scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)44
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
48Goals conceded (season)52
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
2.41Average goals in match2.82
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal76%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
29%2 goals38%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
12%3 goals9%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
6%4 goals3%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal76%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
47%2 goals47%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
18%3 goals21%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
3%4 goals9%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
Paços de Ferreira - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 34 matches
62%
Lusitania Lourosa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 34 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time21%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
12%Scored in both halves18%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
80%BTTS - last 560%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lusitania Lourosa is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.09 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa

Paços de Ferreira - half-time state
15% leading47% draw38% trailing
Lusitania Lourosa - half-time state
24% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)1.09
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.18
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
50%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
74%No goal before half-time62%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1.35
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
56%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa
62%No goal after half-time44%
Paços de FerreiraLusitania Lourosa

Paços de Ferreira - second-half results

35% W38% R26% P
31
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding173%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lusitania Lourosa - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
37
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paços de Ferreira - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Lusitania Lourosa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paços de Ferreira
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
7
12
16-30
5
8
31-45
5
10
46-60
5
5
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Lusitania Lourosa
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
11
31-45
7
7
46-60
6
10
61-75
15
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paços de Ferreira

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Lusitania Lourosa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).

Teams vs league

Paços de FerreiraLigaLusitania Lourosa
Average goals in match 2.412.44 2.82
Both teams scored 47%46% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%45% 59%
Clean sheets 29%32% 24%
Goal before half-time 59%64% 71%
Goal after half-time 65%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Paços de Ferreira 0 - 0 - 1 Lusitania Lourosa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Paços de Ferreira vs Lusitania Lourosa?

The LigaPro match finished Paços de Ferreira 1:5 Lusitania Lourosa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Paços de Ferreira vs Lusitania Lourosa?

Paços de Ferreira score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lusitania Lourosa 1.29. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Paços de Ferreira's matches and 62% of Lusitania Lourosa's.

What form are Paços de Ferreira and Lusitania Lourosa in?

Over the last 5 games Paços de Ferreira have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lusitania Lourosa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paços de Ferreira vs Lusitania Lourosa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paços de Ferreira vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.