Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II: match statistics
The match shapes up to be very even, arguing for a draw or a narrow victory for one side. Paços de Ferreira has shown good form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), securing three victories, which gives them confidence in front of their home crowd. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1) and decent offensive efficiency (1.56 goals per match). On the other hand, Sporting CP II, despite being third in the table, is experiencing a form crisis with only 0.6 PPG in the last five meetings and four consecutive losses. However, the guests have a solid away record (40% victories, 40% clean sheets) and a better average ball possession (51%). Given the guests' poor recent form alongside a good seasonal record, and the hosts' growing confidence, a draw or a minimal victory for one of the teams seems most likely.
Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paços de Ferreira played Sporting CP II in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Paços de Ferreira: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sporting CP II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paços de Ferreira scores 1.05 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Sporting CP II scores 1.50 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paços de Ferreira 53%, Sporting CP II 40%. Over 2.5: Paços de Ferreira 58%, Sporting CP II 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting CP II has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.31. Paços de Ferreira: 11.7 shots per match, Sporting CP II: 12.2.
Match halves
Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68. Sporting CP II: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (8 goals). Sporting CP II: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be very even, arguing for a draw or a narrow victory for one side. Paços de Ferreira has shown good form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), securing three victories, which gives them confidence in front of their home crowd. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1) and decent offensive efficiency (1.56 goals per match). On the other hand, Sporting CP II, despite being third in the table, is experiencing a form crisis with only 0.6 PPG in the last five meetings and four consecutive losses. However, the guests have a solid away record (40% victories, 40% clean sheets) and a better average ball possession (51%). Given the guests' poor recent form alongside a good seasonal record, and the hosts' growing confidence, a draw or a minimal victory for one of the teams seems most likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paços de Ferreira | Sporting CP II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paços de Ferreira is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 0.6 pts / match - Sporting CP II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting CP II is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.5 goals / match - Sporting CP II
Sporting CP II is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 0.9 goals / match - Sporting CP II
Paços de Ferreira scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Sporting CP II keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Sporting CP II scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
Over / Under - Sporting CP II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting CP II is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.45 pts / match - Sporting CP II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting CP II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paços de Ferreira
Sporting CP II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Paços de Ferreira | Liga | Sporting CP II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.53 | 2.45 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paços de Ferreira 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting CP II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II?
The LigaPro match finished Paços de Ferreira 0:3 Sporting CP II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II?
Paços de Ferreira score 1.05 goals per game on average and Sporting CP II 1.50. The LigaPro average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Paços de Ferreira's matches and 40% of Sporting CP II's.
What form are Paços de Ferreira and Sporting CP II in?
Over the last 5 games Paços de Ferreira have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sporting CP II 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.