Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, which suggests a draw. Paços de Ferreira holds a higher position in the table (18th place), but their home form is poor – only 27% wins at home and as many as 45% draws in home matches. UD Oliveirense presents even worse away statistics (only 9% wins away and 64% of matches without scoring a goal), however, their recent overall form is better (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG of the hosts). The hosts have a slight advantage in xG at their stadium (1.59 vs 1.28 of the visitors), but their last 5 matches include only 1 win. Considering the poor form of both teams, Paços' high tendency to draw at home, and the visitors' scoring problems away, the most likely scenario seems to be a share of the points, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to playing in front of their home crowd.
Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paços de Ferreira played UD Oliveirense in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Paços de Ferreira: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. UD Oliveirense: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paços de Ferreira scores 0.91 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. UD Oliveirense scores 1.13 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paços de Ferreira 45%, UD Oliveirense 43%. Over 2.5: Paços de Ferreira 55%, UD Oliveirense 39%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Paços de Ferreira has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.31. Paços de Ferreira: 12.4 shots per match, UD Oliveirense: 11.0.
Match halves
Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.59. UD Oliveirense: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (8 goals). UD Oliveirense: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, which suggests a draw. Paços de Ferreira holds a higher position in the table (18th place), but their home form is poor – only 27% wins at home and as many as 45% draws in home matches. UD Oliveirense presents even worse away statistics (only 9% wins away and 64% of matches without scoring a goal), however, their recent overall form is better (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG of the hosts). The hosts have a slight advantage in xG at their stadium (1.59 vs 1.28 of the visitors), but their last 5 matches include only 1 win. Considering the poor form of both teams, Paços' high tendency to draw at home, and the visitors' scoring problems away, the most likely scenario seems to be a share of the points, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to playing in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paços de Ferreira | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
UD Oliveirense is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.2 pts / match - UD Oliveirense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UD Oliveirense is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.13 goals / match - UD Oliveirense
Paços de Ferreira scores in 50% of matches (11 of 22 matches), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
UD Oliveirense scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
Over / Under - UD Oliveirense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UD Oliveirense is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira · 1.57 pts / match - UD Oliveirense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
UD Oliveirense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paços de Ferreira
UD Oliveirense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Paços de Ferreira | Liga | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.48 | • 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 44% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Paços de FerreiraSubstitutionOn: Diego da Silva FernandesOff: David José Soares Oliveira Furtado Costa
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paços de Ferreira 0 - 1 - 0 UD Oliveirense. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense?
The LigaPro match finished Paços de Ferreira 0:0 UD Oliveirense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense?
Paços de Ferreira score 0.91 goals per game on average and UD Oliveirense 1.13. The LigaPro average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Paços de Ferreira's matches and 43% of UD Oliveirense's.
What form are Paços de Ferreira and UD Oliveirense in?
Over the last 5 games Paços de Ferreira have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and UD Oliveirense 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paços de Ferreira vs UD Oliveirense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.