Pakhtakor vs Neftchi: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Pakhtakor vs Neftchi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pakhtakor play Neftchi in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion.
Current form
Pakhtakor: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Neftchi: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pakhtakor scores 1.79 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Neftchi scores 2.33 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pakhtakor 67%, Neftchi 42%. Over 2.5: Pakhtakor 54%, Neftchi 71%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.50. Pakhtakor: 12.5 shots per match, Neftchi: 15.9.
Match halves
Pakhtakor: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.92. Neftchi: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
Pakhtakor: 16-30 (9 goals). Neftchi: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pakhtakor | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pakhtakor is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Pakhtakor · 2 pts / match - Neftchi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 2.33 goals / match - Neftchi
Neftchi is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Pakhtakor · 0.88 goals / match - Neftchi
Pakhtakor scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 54% (13 of 24 matches).
Neftchi scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pakhtakor
Over / Under - Neftchi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pakhtakor is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.96 pts / match - Pakhtakor · 1.71 pts / match - Neftchi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pakhtakor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pakhtakor
Neftchi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Pakhtakor | Liga | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 54% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Pakhtakor 3 - 0 - 0 Neftchi. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Pakhtakor and Neftchi play?
Pakhtakor face Neftchi on 23 October 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pakhtakor and Neftchi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 3, Neftchi won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?
Pakhtakor score 1.79 goals per game on average and Neftchi 2.33. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Pakhtakor's matches and 42% of Neftchi's.
What form are Pakhtakor and Neftchi in?
Over the last 5 games Pakhtakor have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Neftchi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pakhtakor vs Neftchi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.