Hungary - NB IData current as of 15 October 2026

Paksi SE vs ETO: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paksi SE vs ETO: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paksi SE play ETO in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Paksi SE: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. ETO: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paksi SE scores 2.11 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. ETO scores 1.78 and concedes 1.22. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paksi SE 67%, ETO 56%. Over 2.5: Paksi SE 67%, ETO 67%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Paksi SE has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.28. Paksi SE: 14.3 shots per match, ETO: 10.2.

Match halves

Paksi SE: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11. ETO: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Paksi SE: 16-30 (5 goals). ETO: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.95)
(4.00)
(3.05)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.11Goals scored / match1.78
Paksi SEETO
1.89Goals conceded / match1.22
Paksi SEETO
49%Average possession52%
Paksi SEETO
6.56Shots on target / match4
Paksi SEETO

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.33Shots per match10.22
Paksi SEETO
6.56Shots on target4
Paksi SEETO
14.7%Shot conversion17.4%
Paksi SEETO
49%Possession52%
Paksi SEETO
1.93xG for1.28
Paksi SEETO
1.53xG against1.75
Paksi SEETO

Shooting quality

Paksi SE: AttackingETO: Efficient finishing
Paksi SEETO
Accuracy (shots on target)46%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paksi SE is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1.4 pts / match - ETO

Paksi SE
WDLWW
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
ETO
DLWWL
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 away
1-3-0
DDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paksi SE is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

2.11 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.78 goals / match - ETO

ETO is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.89 goals / match - Paksi SE · 1.22 goals / match - ETO

Paksi SE scoring profile: very strong

Paksi SE scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while ETO keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

ETO scoring profile: very strong

ETO scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

19Goals scored (season)16
Paksi SEETO
17Goals conceded (season)11
Paksi SEETO
4Average goals in match3
Paksi SEETO
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Paksi SEETO
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
Paksi SEETO

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal78%
Paksi SEETO
78%2 goals56%
Paksi SEETO
22%3 goals33%
Paksi SEETO
11%4 goals11%
Paksi SEETO

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
Paksi SEETO
56%2 goals33%
Paksi SEETO
33%3 goals11%
Paksi SEETO
22%4 goals0%
Paksi SEETO

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time11%
Paksi SEETO
22%BTTS in both halves0%
Paksi SEETO
44%Scored in both halves22%
Paksi SEETO

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Paksi SEETO
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Paksi SEETO
40%BTTS - last 560%
Paksi SEETO

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Paksi SEETO
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
Paksi SEETO
44%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Paksi SEETO

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Paksi SEETO
78%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Paksi SEETO
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time44%
Paksi SEETO

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

ETO is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Paksi SE · 1.44 pts / match - ETO

Paksi SE - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing
ETO - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)1.44
Paksi SEETO
1Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Paksi SEETO
1.11Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Paksi SEETO
2.11Average goals (1st half)0.78
Paksi SEETO
56%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Paksi SEETO
33%No goal before half-time56%
Paksi SEETO

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Paksi SEETO
1.11Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
Paksi SEETO
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Paksi SEETO
1.89Average goals (2nd half)2.22
Paksi SEETO
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Paksi SEETO
22%No goal after half-time44%
Paksi SEETO

Paksi SE - second-half results

33% W56% D11% L
10
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

ETO - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paksi SE - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
ETO - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paksi SE
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
5
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

ETO
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paksi SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

ETO

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Paksi SELigaETO
Average goals in match▲ 4.003.19▼ 3.00
Both teams scored• 67%66%▼ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%60%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%19%▲ 22%
Goal before half-time• 67%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%81%▼ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Paksi SE 0 - 2 - 1 ETO. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Paksi SE
3 : 4
Győri ETO FC
Győri ETO FC
0 : 0
Paksi SE
Paksi SE
3 : 3
Győri ETO FC

FAQ

When do Paksi SE and ETO play?

Paksi SE face ETO on 17 October 2026 in NB I. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paksi SE and ETO?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 0, ETO won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paksi SE vs ETO?

Paksi SE score 2.11 goals per game on average and ETO 1.78. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Paksi SE's matches and 56% of ETO's.

What form are Paksi SE and ETO in?

Over the last 5 games Paksi SE have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and ETO 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paksi SE vs ETO?

The statistical background for Paksi SE vs ETO — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.