Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Palmeiras play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 27 July 2026 at 00:30. Venue: Allianz Parque.
Current form
Palmeiras: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Palmeiras scores 1.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Palmeiras 63%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. Over 2.5: Palmeiras 53%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.43. Palmeiras: 13.1 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.6.
Match halves
Palmeiras: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.68. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Palmeiras | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Palmeiras is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Palmeiras scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Palmeiras
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.21 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Palmeiras
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Palmeiras | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Palmeiras 2 - 1 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Palmeiras and Atlético Mineiro play?
Palmeiras face Atlético Mineiro on 26 July 2026 in Serie A at Allianz Parque. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 2, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro?
Palmeiras score 1.74 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Palmeiras's matches and 42% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Palmeiras and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.