Brazil - Serie AAllianz ParqueData current as of 09 September 2026

Palmeiras vs São Paulo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Palmeiras vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Palmeiras play São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Allianz Parque.

Current form

Palmeiras: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. São Paulo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Palmeiras scores 1.73 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.24 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Palmeiras 62%, São Paulo 60%. Over 2.5: Palmeiras 54%, São Paulo 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.49. Palmeiras: 14.2 shots per match, São Paulo: 13.4.

Match halves

Palmeiras: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.85. São Paulo: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). São Paulo: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.69)
(3.80)
(5.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PalmeirasSão Paulo
1.73Goals scored / match1.24
PalmeirasSão Paulo
0.81Goals conceded / match1.12
PalmeirasSão Paulo
52%Average possession54%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
4.58Shots on target / match4.24
PalmeirasSão Paulo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.15Shots per match13.4
PalmeirasSão Paulo
4.58Shots on target4.24
PalmeirasSão Paulo
12.2%Shot conversion9.3%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
52%Possession54%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
1.54xG for1.49
PalmeirasSão Paulo
1.46xG against1.25
PalmeirasSão Paulo

Shooting quality

Palmeiras: AttackingSão Paulo: Balanced
PalmeirasSão Paulo
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

São Paulo is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.4 pts / match - São Paulo

Palmeiras
DLWDD
Season result split
58% W31% D12% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-3
2.04 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
São Paulo
LDLWW
Season result split
36% W24% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-10
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palmeiras is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.73 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.24 goals / match - São Paulo

Palmeiras is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - Palmeiras · 1.12 goals / match - São Paulo

Palmeiras scoring profile: very strong

Palmeiras scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).

São Paulo scoring profile: strong

São Paulo scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).

45Goals scored (season)31
PalmeirasSão Paulo
21Goals conceded (season)28
PalmeirasSão Paulo
2.54Average goals in match2.36
PalmeirasSão Paulo
7Goals scored (last 5)6
PalmeirasSão Paulo
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
PalmeirasSão Paulo

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal80%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
46%2 goals36%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
23%3 goals4%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
12%4 goals4%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal80%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
15%2 goals28%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
4%3 goals4%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
0%4 goals0%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time4%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
8%BTTS in both halves4%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
38%Scored in both halves16%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
60%BTTS - last 560%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time16%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palmeiras is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.96 pts / match - Palmeiras · 1.44 pts / match - São Paulo

Palmeiras - half-time state
50% leading46% draw4% trailing
São Paulo - half-time state
36% leading36% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.96Points per match (1st half)1.44
PalmeirasSão Paulo
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.48
PalmeirasSão Paulo
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
PalmeirasSão Paulo
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.84
PalmeirasSão Paulo
73%Clean sheet before half-time68%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
31%No goal before half-time60%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.44
PalmeirasSão Paulo
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
PalmeirasSão Paulo
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
PalmeirasSão Paulo
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.52
PalmeirasSão Paulo
58%Clean sheet after half-time44%
PalmeirasSão Paulo
42%No goal after half-time44%
PalmeirasSão Paulo

Palmeiras - second-half results

27% W62% D12% L
51
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Paulo - second-half results

44% W12% D44% L
36
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Palmeiras - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.42.0
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
São Paulo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Palmeiras
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
9
1
16-30
7
4
31-45
6
6
46-60
8
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

São Paulo
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
9
46-60
9
3
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Palmeiras

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

São Paulo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

PalmeirasLigaSão Paulo
Average goals in match 2.542.63 2.36
Both teams scored 62%58% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%50% 40%
Clean sheets 38%24% 20%
Goal before half-time 73%74% 68%
Goal after half-time 62%78% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Palmeiras 3 - 0 - 0 São Paulo. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

São Paulo
0 : 1
Palmeiras
São Paulo FC
2 : 3
SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras
1 : 0
São Paulo FC

FAQ

When do Palmeiras and São Paulo play?

Palmeiras face São Paulo on 12 September 2026 in Serie A at Allianz Parque. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and São Paulo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3, São Paulo won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Palmeiras vs São Paulo?

Palmeiras score 1.73 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.24. The Serie A average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Palmeiras's matches and 60% of São Paulo's.

What form are Palmeiras and São Paulo in?

Over the last 5 games Palmeiras have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and São Paulo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palmeiras vs São Paulo?

The statistical background for Palmeiras vs São Paulo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.