Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris: match statistics
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Panevėžys played Kauno Žalgiris in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Panevėžys: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Kauno Žalgiris: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Panevėžys scores 1.11 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Kauno Žalgiris scores 2.11 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Panevėžys 50%, Kauno Žalgiris 44%. Over 2.5: Panevėžys 54%, Kauno Žalgiris 59%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Kauno Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.27. Panevėžys: 10.6 shots per match, Kauno Žalgiris: 14.2.
Match halves
Panevėžys: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.46. Kauno Žalgiris: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Panevėžys: 31-45+ (10 goals). Kauno Žalgiris: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-5. Average goals 2.86, BTTS 29%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kauno Žalgiris sit 2nd in the table, while Panevėžys are seventh, and the visitors’ overall season record includes just 4 defeats in 26 matches compared with the hosts’ 13 losses in 28 games. Away from home, Kauno Žalgiris average 1.73 goals and generate 1.63 xG per match, clearly outperforming Panevėžys at home, who average 1.23 goals and 1.38 xG. The visitors are also more defensively consistent, conceding 0.82 goals per away match with 1.18 xG against, while the hosts allow opponents 1.62 xG despite conceding just 1 goal on average. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but Kauno Žalgiris conceded only 3 goals during this period, compared with 4 for Panevėžys. The visitors’ high 45% draw rate away from home increases the risk of a share of the points, but Kauno Žalgiris’ greater possession (63% versus 46%) and advantage in shots, 14.64 to 11.69, point to a narrow victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points toward BTTS - No, as Panevėžys records matches in which both teams score in only 27% of its games this season, compared with the league average of 48%. Kauno Žalgiris has a higher seasonal BTTS rate of 64%, but has recorded no such match in its last 5 games, while Panevėžys registered just 20% over the same period. The hosts concede an average of only 0.53 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 60% of their fixtures, which significantly limits the visitors’ chances of scoring. The current defensive form of both teams also appears stable: in their last five matches, Panevėžys conceded 0.8 goals per game, while Kauno Žalgiris conceded 0.6. Although both teams average 1.63 xG per match this season, the combination of the hosts’ strong defence and the very low recent BTTS frequency more strongly supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: Panevėžys score at least 2 goals in 73% of matches, while Kauno Žalgiris do so in 82%. The home side score an average of 2.20 goals per match, compared with 1.73 for the visitors, and both teams create a similar number of quality chances, with an average xG of 1.63. Kauno Žalgiris concede in 64% of matches, while Panevėžys score in 80% of their games, clearly supporting the hosts’ goal tally. At the same time, Panevėžys’ very strong defence, conceding just 0.53 goals on average and keeping a clean sheet in 60% of matches, limits the potential for a high-scoring game. Each team has produced Over 2.5 goals in 40% of their last five matches, making Over 2.5 less reliable than Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Panevėžys have a clear advantage in the first halves: they have led at the break in 67% of matches, compared with just 27% for Kauno Žalgiris. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals before half-time and concede only 0.07, while the visitors score 0.64 and concede 0.55 during this period. In addition, Panevėžys have kept a clean sheet at half-time in 93% of matches, significantly limiting the visitors’ chances of completing a turnaround before the interval. After the break, Kauno Žalgiris are more dangerous, scoring an average of 1.09 goals, but the hosts have superior overall season quality: 2.20 goals scored per match and only 0.53 conceded. Therefore, the most likely scenario is Panevėžys leading at half-time and maintaining their victory through to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Panevėžys | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kauno Žalgiris is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Panevėžys · 2.2 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kauno Žalgiris is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Panevėžys · 2.11 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Panevėžys · 0.67 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Panevėžys scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Kauno Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 matches).
Kauno Žalgiris scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Panevėžys keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Panevėžys
Over / Under - Kauno Žalgiris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kauno Žalgiris is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Panevėžys · 1.89 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panevėžys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kauno Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Panevėžys | Liga | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.68 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Panevėžys 1 - 1 - 5 Kauno Žalgiris. Average goals 2.86, both teams scored in 29% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The A Lyga match finished Panevėžys 0:1 Kauno Žalgiris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Panevėžys and Kauno Žalgiris?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Panevėžys won 1, Kauno Žalgiris won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Panevėžys score 1.11 goals per game on average and Kauno Žalgiris 2.11. The A Lyga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Panevėžys's matches and 44% of Kauno Žalgiris's.
What form are Panevėžys and Kauno Žalgiris in?
Over the last 5 games Panevėžys have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kauno Žalgiris 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The statistical background for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.