PAOK vs Aris: match statistics
PAOK vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PAOK played Aris in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Toumbas. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
PAOK: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match. Aris: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
PAOK scores 2.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Aris scores 1.67 and concedes 2.67. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PAOK 67%, Aris 67%. Over 2.5: PAOK 100%, Aris 100%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Aris has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.28. PAOK: 10.7 shots per match, Aris: 14.3.
Match halves
PAOK: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Aris: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
PAOK: 31-45+ (3 goals). Aris: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK have a clear home advantage: they have won 100% of their matches there, scoring an average of 4 goals and conceding none. The hosts are also creating high-quality chances, recording an xG of 1.49 against just 0.77 xG allowed to opponents, while their 5 shots on target per match exceed Aris’s away average of 4.5. Aris have been more effective in terms of points over their last five matches, averaging 1.8 points compared with PAOK’s 1.4, but they concede as many as 3.5 goals per away game and have a -4 goal difference. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match, while in 50% of those games they failed to score altogether. Given PAOK’s superior conversion rate of 31% compared with Aris’s 12%, a home win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
PAOK have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches this season, while Aris have registered BTTS in 50%; over their last five games, both teams stand at 60%. The hosts score an average of 2.0 goals at home and create 2.03 xG, whereas Aris concede as many as 3.5 goals per away match. Aris’s chances of scoring are strengthened by their away averages of 1.5 goals and 1.45 xG, especially as PAOK have yet to keep a clean sheet this season and allow opponents 1.15 xG. In their last five matches, Aris have scored 9 goals, while PAOK have conceded 7, making at least one away goal a realistic scenario. BTTS - Yes is clearly above the league average of 45%, although Aris’s lower attacking efficiency in some away fixtures justifies retaining significant BTTS - No risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
PAOK score an average of 2.0 goals at home, while Aris concede as many as 3.5 goals per away match, clearly strengthening the case for at least two goals. The hosts also create chances worth 2.03 xG and average 10 shots on target, while Aris’ xG conceded stands at 1.57. In their last five matches, both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games, with Aris conceding 14 goals during this period—2.8 per match. Every match played by both teams in the current competition has exceeded 1.5 goals, making Over 1.5 the safest and most strongly supported selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PAOK have a clear advantage in the home-based data: they have won 100% of their matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 10 shots on target per game, compared with Aris’s 4.5. The hosts were leading at the break in their only home match so far, scoring 1.0 goal before half-time and conceding none, while Aris have yet to lead at half-time in an away fixture. The visitors’ defensive record is also a key factor, as they concede an average of 3.5 goals away from home, including as many as 2.5 after the break. PAOK create chances worth an average of 2.03 xG, while Aris allow 1.57 xG, supporting a scenario in which the hosts take the lead before half-time and maintain it through to the final whistle. Although the last five matches for both teams produced a 40% half-time draw rate, Aris lost 40% of those games, while PAOK have avoided defeat after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PAOK | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.63 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - PAOK · 1.67 goals / match - Aris
PAOK is 101% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - PAOK · 2.67 goals / match - Aris
PAOK scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Aris scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PAOK
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PAOK
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| PAOK | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.68 | ▲ 4.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 40% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): PAOK 1 - 1 - 0 Aris. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PAOK vs Aris?
The Super League match finished PAOK 2:0 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and Aris?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1, Aris won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Aris?
PAOK score 2.33 goals per game on average and Aris 1.67. The Super League average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 67% of PAOK's matches and 67% of Aris's.
What form are PAOK and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Aris 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Aris?
The statistical background for PAOK vs Aris — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.