PAOK vs Panathinaikos: match statistics
PAOK vs Panathinaikos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PAOK played Panathinaikos in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
PAOK: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Panathinaikos: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
PAOK scores 2.00 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Panathinaikos scores 1.69 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PAOK 38%, Panathinaikos 54%. Over 2.5: PAOK 58%, Panathinaikos 54%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
PAOK has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.58. PAOK: 13.9 shots per match, Panathinaikos: 13.0.
Match halves
PAOK: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.96. Panathinaikos: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
PAOK: 31-45+ (10 goals). Panathinaikos: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PAOK holds a clear home advantage: 85% home win rate this season and as many as 77% clean sheets, conceding only 0.23 goals per home match on average, which makes life very difficult for visitors. In attack the hosts average 2.08 goals per home game and have an xG of 1.85 with 15.85 shots and 5.85 on target, while Panathinaikos away records 1.46 goals, xG 1.43 and 11.92 shots with 4.54 on target. In the last 5 matches PAOK scored 10 and conceded 3, whereas Panathinaikos scored 7 and conceded 6, so the hosts’ defensive and offensive edge over this period is pronounced. Additionally, the visitors have 31% of away games without scoring and 31% away defeats versus 46% wins, suggesting instability on the road. Based on this, PAOK is the favorite; I estimate probabilities of 72% for a home win, 14% for a draw and 14% for a Panathinaikos win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
PAOK at home has a seasonal BTTS rate of 62% vs 46% for Panathinaikos, indicating a strong home trend toward Goal/Goal matches. The hosts score on average 1.92 and concede 0.77 per match, with xG 1.72 and 14.08 shots (5.38 on target) compared to the visitors' xG 1.43 and 11.92 shots (4.54 on target), so PAOK clearly creates more chances. At the same time Panathinaikos failed to score in 31% of matches (PAOK only 8%), and in the last 5 matches the BTTS rate was only 40% for both teams, which reduces the likelihood of both sides scoring. Over the last 5 rounds PAOK averages 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded, while Panathinaikos averages 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, so the hosts should guarantee a goal whereas the visitors have a moderate chance to score. Overall I consider the strong home BTTS signal of 62% and the xG advantage (1.72 vs 1.43) outweigh the risk of the visitors not scoring, therefore I give 60% for BTTS - Yes and recommend: yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect a total of 2.59 goals (PAOK 1.43, Panathinaikos 1.16), which clearly exceeds the 1.5 line and favors Over. Seasonal metrics confirm this signal: PAOK has 85% of matches Over 1.5, Panathinaikos 77%, and both teams have 92% of matches with at least one goal (Over 0.5), increasing the likelihood of early strikes. The 2.5 line has moderate support — both sides have a season Over 2.5 rate of 54% and in their last 5 matches PAOK scored 10 goals, Panathinaikos 7, so I give Over 2.5 a moderate edge (about 58%). Over 3.5 is less justified: season Over 3.5 is 23% for PAOK and 31% for Panathinaikos, hence I assess Over 3.5 at around 28%. Therefore the strongest and least risky signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PAOK has a clear home advantage: they win 62% of matches at their stadium, score an average of 1.92 goals per game and concede 0.77, and by half-time they average 1.00 goals scored and 0.31 conceded, leading at the break in 62% of matches. Panathinaikos on the road averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.23 conceded, with a half-time average of 0.77 scored and 0.46 conceded, and in the last five away matches they led at the break in 40% of cases (2 of 5). xG favors PAOK (1.72 vs 1.43); the home side register more shots on target (5.38 vs 4.54) and a higher conversion rate (14% vs 12%), which increases the likelihood that PAOK will score first and build a lead. Considering that PAOK led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and have a higher average points per home game (2.15 vs 1.62), the most probable scenario is 1/1 — the home side leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PAOK | Panathinaikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Panathinaikos is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - PAOK · 2.6 pts / match - Panathinaikos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PAOK is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - PAOK · 1.69 goals / match - Panathinaikos
PAOK is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - PAOK · 1 goals / match - Panathinaikos
PAOK scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Panathinaikos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Panathinaikos scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 58% (15 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PAOK
Over / Under - Panathinaikos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PAOK is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.04 pts / match - PAOK · 1.88 pts / match - Panathinaikos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PAOK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Panathinaikos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PAOK
Panathinaikos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| PAOK | Liga | Panathinaikos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 31% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): PAOK 1 - 0 - 1 Panathinaikos. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
The Super League match finished PAOK 0:0 Panathinaikos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and Panathinaikos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1, Panathinaikos won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
PAOK score 2.00 goals per game on average and Panathinaikos 1.69. The Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of PAOK's matches and 54% of Panathinaikos's.
What form are PAOK and Panathinaikos in?
Over the last 5 games PAOK have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Panathinaikos 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.