Cyprus - First DivisionStadio Stelios KyriakidesData current as of 18 September 2026

Paphos vs AEL: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paphos vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paphos play AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 18 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides.

Current form

Paphos: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. AEL: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paphos scores 1.33 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. AEL scores 1.33 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paphos 0%, AEL 33%. Over 2.5: Paphos 33%, AEL 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Paphos has higher xG: 2.10 vs 1.39. Paphos: 18.0 shots per match, AEL: 10.3.

Match halves

Paphos: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. AEL: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Paphos: 46-60 (2 goals). AEL: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match1.33
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded / match2.33
PaphosAEL
58%Average possession50%
PaphosAEL
6.33Shots on target / match6
PaphosAEL

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18Shots per match10.33
PaphosAEL
6.33Shots on target6
PaphosAEL
7.4%Shot conversion12.9%
PaphosAEL
58%Possession50%
PaphosAEL
2.1xG for1.39
PaphosAEL
1.29xG against1.24
PaphosAEL

Shooting quality

Paphos: DominantAEL: Balanced
PaphosAEL
Accuracy (shots on target)35%58%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paphos is 17% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - Paphos · 2 pts / match - AEL

Paphos
WDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.10Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 33%
AEL
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 2.3xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paphos scoring profile: strong

Paphos scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

AEL scoring profile: more difficult

AEL scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)4
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (season)7
PaphosAEL
1.33Average goals in match3.67
PaphosAEL
4Goals scored (last 5)4
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (last 5)7
PaphosAEL

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
PaphosAEL
33%2 goals67%
PaphosAEL
33%3 goals0%
PaphosAEL
0%4 goals0%
PaphosAEL

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal67%
PaphosAEL
0%2 goals33%
PaphosAEL
0%3 goals33%
PaphosAEL
0%4 goals33%
PaphosAEL

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
PaphosAEL
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PaphosAEL
33%Scored in both halves67%
PaphosAEL

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
PaphosAEL
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
PaphosAEL
0%BTTS - last 533%
PaphosAEL

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
PaphosAEL
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
PaphosAEL
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PaphosAEL

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PaphosAEL
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
PaphosAEL
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
PaphosAEL

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEL is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Paphos · 2 pts / match - AEL

Paphos - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
AEL - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)2
PaphosAEL
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.67
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
PaphosAEL
0.33Average goals (1st half)1.33
PaphosAEL
100%Clean sheet before half-time67%
PaphosAEL
67%No goal before half-time33%
PaphosAEL

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)1.33
PaphosAEL
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1.67
PaphosAEL
1Average goals (2nd half)2.33
PaphosAEL
100%Clean sheet after half-time33%
PaphosAEL
33%No goal after half-time33%
PaphosAEL

Paphos - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AEL - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paphos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.672.33
Goals scored / match0.31.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.31.0
1 goal33%67%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
AEL - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.33
Goals scored / match0.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.71.7
Average goals in match1.32.3
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paphos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

AEL
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paphos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.81
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

AEL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

PaphosLigaAEL
Average goals in match 1.333.10 3.67
Both teams scored 0%57% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%67% 67%
Clean sheets 100%29% 33%
Goal before half-time 33%76% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
1.52
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Paphos 2 - 0 - 0 AEL. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

AEL
0 : 1
Paphos
Paphos
1 : 0
AEL

FAQ

When do Paphos and AEL play?

Paphos face AEL on 18 September 2026 in First Division at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paphos and AEL?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paphos won 2, AEL won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs AEL?

Paphos score 1.33 goals per game on average and AEL 1.33. The First Division average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Paphos's matches and 33% of AEL's.

What form are Paphos and AEL in?

Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and AEL 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs AEL?

The statistical background for Paphos vs AEL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.