Paphos vs APOEL: match statistics
Paphos vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paphos played APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 22 May 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Paphos: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. APOEL: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paphos scores 1.83 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. APOEL scores 1.51 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paphos 49%, APOEL 49%. Over 2.5: Paphos 51%, APOEL 51%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
APOEL has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.48. Paphos: 11.4 shots per match, APOEL: 12.7.
Match halves
Paphos: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.00. APOEL: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Paphos: 76-90+ (25 goals). APOEL: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back '1' — Paphos win: the hosts hold a clear home advantage, posting 59% home wins, averaging 2.00 goals scored per match and a positive goal differential of +21 at their stadium. Over the season Paphos scored 64 goals versus APOEL's 53 and conceded 38 compared to APOEL's 43 away, indicating home superiority in both attack and defense. In the last 5 matches Paphos scored 8 goals while APOEL managed only 1, although Paphos also conceded 9 goals in those five fixtures (1.8 per match) versus 6 (1.2 per match) conceded by APOEL, which signals some defensive instability for the hosts. Quality of chances favors Paphos: home xG is 1.52 versus away xG 1.47 for the visitors, shot conversion 17% vs 13% and higher possession 55% vs 52% suggest Paphos more frequently creates and finishes high-quality opportunities. Considering superior finishing (64 vs 53 goals), a higher share of clean sheets at home (53% vs 24%) and APOEL's poor form in the last 5 matches, I assign Paphos ~62% chance to win, draw 20% and away win 18%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long metrics are similar, but with a slight offensive edge to Paphos: BTTS 50% vs APOEL 47% (league 43%), and Paphos have 64 scored and 38 conceded versus APOEL 53-43. However, last-5 form favors No Goal — APOEL have 0% BTTS and average 0.2 goals per match (1 goal in 5), while Paphos have 60% BTTS and scored 8 in 5 (1.6 avg). Paphos generate more chances (season xG 1.74 vs 1.47 for APOEL and 13.67 vs 11.59 shots per match), but the visitors’ finishing crisis is confirmed in the last 5 — APOEL have xG 1.32 with no actual goals. Considering APOEL have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 and recorded no BTTS, I estimate 30% for BTTS and 70% for No Goal; pick: 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG the combined expected goals total is about 2.85: Paphos 1.50 (attacking xG 1.74 vs APOEL conceded xG 1.25), APOEL 1.35 (attacking xG 1.47 vs Paphos conceded xG 1.23). Both teams have high season-level Over 1.5 rates: 78% for Paphos and 88% for APOEL, which the model translates to ~78% probability of at least 2 goals in the match. The chance of Over 2.5 is moderate (~54%), correlating with season rates of 56% (Paphos) and 47% (APOEL) and a league average of 2.6 goals per game. Additionally, Paphos averages 13.67 shots and 5.0 on target per game versus APOEL’s 11.59 and 4.65, with conversion rates of 11% vs 13%, giving the hosts an edge in chance creation. Considering the expected 2.85 goals and the fact APOEL scored only 1 goal in the last 5 matches (0.2 per game) with an xG of 1.32, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal from these data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
APOEL led at the break in 41% of their matches, while Paphos led only in 28%, so the visitors more often take a lead before half-time. At the same time Paphos show clear strength after the break: the hosts score an average of 1.11 goals in the second half versus 0.94 for APOEL and win 44% of second halves compared to 35% for the visitors, which favors turnarounds. Over the full match Paphos win at home in 44% of games versus 41% away wins for APOEL, and the hosts' superior xG (1.74 vs 1.47) confirms their greater chance creation potential. Additionally most goals occur after the 60th minute (Paphos scored 10 goals in minutes 76–90), which increases the likelihood of a turnaround after a half-time draw, so the strongest signal is X/1 (draw at Half-Time and home win at Full-Time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paphos | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paphos is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Paphos · 0.8 pts / match - APOEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paphos is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Paphos · 1.51 goals / match - APOEL
Paphos is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Paphos · 1.23 goals / match - APOEL
Paphos scores in 86% of matches (30 of 35 matches), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
APOEL scores in 74% of matches (26 of 35 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paphos
Over / Under - APOEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / match - Paphos · 1.37 pts / match - APOEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (25 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paphos
APOEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Paphos | Liga | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 49% | 43% | ▲ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 51% | 48% | ▲ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Paphos 2 - 1 - 0 APOEL. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paphos vs APOEL?
The First Division match finished Paphos 2:0 APOEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paphos and APOEL?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Paphos won 2, APOEL won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs APOEL?
Paphos score 1.83 goals per game on average and APOEL 1.51. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Paphos's matches and 49% of APOEL's.
What form are Paphos and APOEL in?
Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and APOEL 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs APOEL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.