Czechia - First LeagueData current as of 14 October 2026

Pardubice vs Zlín: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Pardubice vs Zlín: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Pardubice play Zlín in First League (Czechia). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Pardubice: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Zlín: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Pardubice scores 0.90 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Zlín scores 0.80 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Pardubice 70%, Zlín 60%. Over 2.5: Pardubice 60%, Zlín 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Pardubice has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.20. Pardubice: 12.9 shots per match, Zlín: 11.1.

Match halves

Pardubice: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50. Zlín: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Pardubice: 46-60 (4 goals). Zlín: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.60)
(3.90)
(5.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.9Goals scored / match0.8
PardubiceZlín
1.6Goals conceded / match2
PardubiceZlín
41%Average possession40%
PardubiceZlín
4.4Shots on target / match2.3
PardubiceZlín

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.9Shots per match11.1
PardubiceZlín
4.4Shots on target2.3
PardubiceZlín
7%Shot conversion7.2%
PardubiceZlín
41%Possession40%
PardubiceZlín
1.48xG for1.2
PardubiceZlín
1.55xG against1.76
PardubiceZlín

Shooting quality

Pardubice: BalancedZlín: Balanced
PardubiceZlín
Accuracy (shots on target)34%21%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Pardubice is 600% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Pardubice · 0.2 pts / match - Zlín

Pardubice
LDWWL
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-6
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
LDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Zlín
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W10% D90% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-9
0.10 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pardubice is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.9 goals / match - Pardubice · 0.8 goals / match - Zlín

Pardubice is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Pardubice · 2 goals / match - Zlín

Pardubice scoring profile: very strong

Pardubice scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Zlín keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

Zlín scoring profile: very strong

Zlín scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Pardubice keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

9Goals scored (season)8
PardubiceZlín
16Goals conceded (season)20
PardubiceZlín
2.5Average goals in match2.8
PardubiceZlín
5Goals scored (last 5)5
PardubiceZlín
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
PardubiceZlín

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal60%
PardubiceZlín
20%2 goals20%
PardubiceZlín
0%3 goals0%
PardubiceZlín
0%4 goals0%
PardubiceZlín

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal100%
PardubiceZlín
60%2 goals60%
PardubiceZlín
10%3 goals40%
PardubiceZlín
0%4 goals0%
PardubiceZlín

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time20%
PardubiceZlín
0%BTTS in both halves10%
PardubiceZlín
20%Scored in both halves10%
PardubiceZlín

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
PardubiceZlín
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PardubiceZlín
60%BTTS - last 580%
PardubiceZlín

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
PardubiceZlín
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
PardubiceZlín
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
PardubiceZlín

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
PardubiceZlín
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
PardubiceZlín
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
PardubiceZlín

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pardubice is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Pardubice · 0.6 pts / match - Zlín

Pardubice - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing
Zlín - half-time state
10% leading30% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)0.6
PardubiceZlín
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.3
PardubiceZlín
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
PardubiceZlín
1Average goals (1st half)1.1
PardubiceZlín
50%Clean sheet before half-time30%
PardubiceZlín
60%No goal before half-time70%
PardubiceZlín

After half-time (2nd half)

0.7Points per match (2nd half)0.3
PardubiceZlín
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
PardubiceZlín
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
PardubiceZlín
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.7
PardubiceZlín
30%Clean sheet after half-time10%
PardubiceZlín
50%No goal after half-time60%
PardubiceZlín

Pardubice - second-half results

10% W40% D50% L
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Zlín - second-half results

0% W30% D70% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pardubice - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Zlín - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Pardubice
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Zlín
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
6
46-60
0
3
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Pardubice

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Zlín

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.64
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

PardubiceLigaZlín
Average goals in match▼ 2.502.75• 2.80
Both teams scored▲ 70%50%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%54%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 10%28%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time• 80%79%• 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%84%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Pardubice 1 - 1 - 0 Zlín. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FK Pardubice
3 : 1
FC FASTAV Zlín
FC FASTAV Zlín
2 : 2
FK Pardubice

FAQ

When do Pardubice and Zlín play?

Pardubice face Zlín on 17 October 2026 in First League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Pardubice and Zlín?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pardubice won 1, Zlín won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Pardubice vs Zlín?

Pardubice score 0.90 goals per game on average and Zlín 0.80. The First League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Pardubice's matches and 60% of Zlín's.

What form are Pardubice and Zlín in?

Over the last 5 games Pardubice have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Zlín 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pardubice vs Zlín?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pardubice vs Zlín: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.