Paredes vs Fafe: match statistics
Paredes are displaying impressive home form with 70% clean sheets and an average of just 0.3 goals conceded per match at home, making them a fortress at their own stadium. The hosts are the league leaders and have not lost any home match this season (40% wins, 60% draws). Fafe show significant problems in away matches, where they have lost 50% of games and secured only 10% wins, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The visitors' recent away form is particularly concerning - the dldlddlwll sequence shows a lack of stability. Paredes' advantage in possession (49% vs 54% for Fafe) is slight, but the key factor will be the hosts' defensive solidity and their +9 home goal difference. Paredes' high percentage of home draws (60%) suggests that cautious play could result in a share of the points, however, the hosts' qualitative and psychological advantage points towards their victory.
Paredes vs Fafe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paredes played Fafe in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Paredes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fafe: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paredes scores 1.29 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Fafe scores 1.33 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paredes 38%, Fafe 52%. Over 2.5: Paredes 38%, Fafe 43%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.45. Paredes: 10.8 shots per match, Fafe: 12.3.
Match halves
Paredes: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.43. Fafe: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Paredes: 31-45+ (7 goals). Fafe: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paredes are displaying impressive home form with 70% clean sheets and an average of just 0.3 goals conceded per match at home, making them a fortress at their own stadium. The hosts are the league leaders and have not lost any home match this season (40% wins, 60% draws). Fafe show significant problems in away matches, where they have lost 50% of games and secured only 10% wins, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The visitors' recent away form is particularly concerning - the dldlddlwll sequence shows a lack of stability. Paredes' advantage in possession (49% vs 54% for Fafe) is slight, but the key factor will be the hosts' defensive solidity and their +9 home goal difference. Paredes' high percentage of home draws (60%) suggests that cautious play could result in a share of the points, however, the hosts' qualitative and psychological advantage points towards their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paredes | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paredes is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Paredes · 1.4 pts / match - Fafe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Paredes · 1.19 goals / match - Fafe
Paredes scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Fafe scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paredes
Over / Under - Fafe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Paredes · 1.14 pts / match - Fafe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paredes
Fafe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Paredes | Liga | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.95 | 2.20 | ▲ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Paredes 0 - 1 - 1 Fafe. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paredes vs Fafe?
The Liga 3 match finished Paredes 0:0 Fafe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paredes and Fafe?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paredes won 0, Fafe won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paredes vs Fafe?
Paredes score 1.29 goals per game on average and Fafe 1.33. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Paredes's matches and 52% of Fafe's.
What form are Paredes and Fafe in?
Over the last 5 games Paredes have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fafe 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paredes vs Fafe?
The statistical background for Paredes vs Fafe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.