Scotland - ChampionshipThe Energy Check StadiumData current as of 03 September 2026

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Partick Thistle vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Partick Thistle play Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: The Energy Check Stadium.

Current form

Partick Thistle: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Ayr United: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match.

Goal statistics

Partick Thistle scores 1.00 and concedes 0.25 goals per match. Ayr United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Partick Thistle 25%, Ayr United 50%. Over 2.5: Partick Thistle 0%, Ayr United 0%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 15%.

xG, shots and style

Partick Thistle has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.88. Partick Thistle: 9.5 shots per match, Ayr United: 5.8.

Match halves

Partick Thistle: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25. Ayr United: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Partick Thistle: 0-15 (1 goals). Ayr United: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 15%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.56)
(3.80)
(5.32)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Partick ThistleAyr United
1Goals scored / match1
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.25Goals conceded / match1
Partick ThistleAyr United
60%Average possession33%
Partick ThistleAyr United
3.5Shots on target / match2.75
Partick ThistleAyr United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.5Shots per match5.75
Partick ThistleAyr United
3.5Shots on target2.75
Partick ThistleAyr United
10.5%Shot conversion17.4%
Partick ThistleAyr United
60%Possession33%
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.3xG for0.88
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.8xG against1.27
Partick ThistleAyr United

Shooting quality

Partick Thistle: BalancedAyr United: Counter-attacking
Partick ThistleAyr United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Partick Thistle is 60% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Partick Thistle · 1.25 pts / match - Ayr United

Partick Thistle
WWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 0.80BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 0%
Ayr United
WDLD
Season result split
25% W50% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Partick Thistle is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.25 goals / match - Partick Thistle · 1 goals / match - Ayr United

Partick Thistle scoring profile: very strong

Partick Thistle scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

Ayr United scoring profile: mixed

Ayr United scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Partick Thistle keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).

4Goals scored (season)4
Partick ThistleAyr United
1Goals conceded (season)4
Partick ThistleAyr United
1.25Average goals in match2
Partick ThistleAyr United
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Partick ThistleAyr United
1Goals conceded (last 5)4
Partick ThistleAyr United

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
Partick ThistleAyr United
25%2 goals25%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%3 goals0%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%4 goals0%
Partick ThistleAyr United

How often they concede at least...

25%1 goal75%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%2 goals25%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%3 goals0%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%4 goals0%
Partick ThistleAyr United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%Scored in both halves25%
Partick ThistleAyr United

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Partick ThistleAyr United
25%BTTS - last 550%
Partick ThistleAyr United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Partick ThistleAyr United
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Partick ThistleAyr United

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Partick ThistleAyr United
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Partick ThistleAyr United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Partick Thistle is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Partick Thistle · 1.75 pts / match - Ayr United

Partick Thistle - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Ayr United - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.75
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Partick ThistleAyr United
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.75Average goals (1st half)1.5
Partick ThistleAyr United
100%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Partick ThistleAyr United
50%No goal before half-time25%
Partick ThistleAyr United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.25
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
Partick ThistleAyr United
0.5Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Partick ThistleAyr United
75%Clean sheet after half-time75%
Partick ThistleAyr United
75%No goal after half-time75%
Partick ThistleAyr United

Partick Thistle - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ayr United - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Partick Thistle - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.25
Goals scored / match0.80.3
Goals conceded / match0.00.3
Average goals in match0.80.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals25%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%75%
No goal50%75%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ayr United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.751.25
Goals scored / match0.80.3
Goals conceded / match0.80.3
Average goals in match1.50.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%75%
No goal25%75%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 50% leading - 25% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Partick Thistle
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Partick Thistle

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Partick ThistleLigaAyr United
Average goals in match 1.251.75 2.00
Both teams scored 25%35% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%15% 0%
Clean sheets 75%40% 25%
Goal before half-time 50%55% 100%
Goal after half-time 50%65% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.75
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
15%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.15
Home goals / match
0.60
Away goals / match
+92%
Home attack advantage
+48%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Partick Thistle 2 - 2 - 0 Ayr United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Partick Thistle and Ayr United play?

Partick Thistle face Ayr United on 5 September 2026 in Championship at The Energy Check Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Partick Thistle and Ayr United?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Partick Thistle won 2, Ayr United won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Partick Thistle score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.00. The Championship average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Partick Thistle's matches and 50% of Ayr United's.

What form are Partick Thistle and Ayr United in?

Over the last 5 games Partick Thistle have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Ayr United 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

The statistical background for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.