Patronato vs Almagro: match statistics
Patronato vs Almagro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Patronato played Almagro in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Patronato: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Almagro: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Patronato scores 0.88 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Almagro scores 0.81 and concedes 1.12. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Patronato 38%, Almagro 35%. Over 2.5: Patronato 27%, Almagro 23%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Patronato has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.10. Patronato: 10.6 shots per match, Almagro: 8.3.
Match halves
Patronato: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.35. Almagro: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Patronato: 31-45+ (7 goals). Almagro: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Patronato have the stronger case at home: they average 1.25 goals scored with an xG of 1.51, while Almagro score just 0.62 goals away from home, with an xG of 0.95. The visitors have failed to score in 62% of their away matches and average only 2.69 shots on target per game, limiting their attacking potential. Almagro’s away defence concedes 1.54 goals per match against a high opposition xG of 1.91, and the team have lost 54% of such fixtures. Patronato are also in poor recent form, without a win in their last 5 matches and having conceded 12 goals, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. Nevertheless, the hosts average 53% possession, create more chances than their opponents and should make home advantage count.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Almagro’s limited attacking efficiency: they average just 0.62 goals scored away from home, and fail to score in 62% of such matches. Patronato keep a clean sheet in 46% of their home games and concede only 0.69 goals per match there, which clearly makes it difficult for the visitors to find the net. Both teams’ seasonal BTTS rates are low, standing at 31% for Patronato and 38% for Almagro, compared with the league average of 40%. The hosts’ last five matches were more open, as they conceded an average of 2.4 goals and BTTS - Yes landed in 60% of cases, but Almagro scored only 2 goals over the same period, averaging 0.4 per match. The hosts should have chances to score against an away defence conceding an average of 1.54 goals per game, but it is more likely that Almagro will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profile clearly points toward a limited number of goals: Patronato finished below 2.5 goals in 85% of their matches, while Almagro did so in 69%. The signal is even stronger for the 3.5 line, with 100% of the home team’s matches and 85% of the away team’s matches staying below it. Almagro average just 0.62 goals per match and fail to score in 62% of their games, while Patronato keep a clean sheet in 46% of matches. The hosts should create more, given their average xG of 1.24 compared with the 1.91 xG conceded by Almagro, but their own scoring average stands at just 1.00 goal. Patronato’s last five matches were more open, averaging 4.0 goals, but the visitors’ weak attack and long-term trends make Under 3.5 the safest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Patronato win at full-time, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 69% of their matches, while Almagro were trailing at that point in 46%. Patronato score just 0.08 goals per match before the break, but average 0.92 goals after half-time and win the second half in 54% of cases. Almagro have very limited attacking strength: they average just 0.62 goals per match across the season and failed to score before half-time in 85% of their away matches. The hosts’ advantage is further reinforced by Almagro’s defence, which concedes an average of 1.54 goals per match, with an xGA of 1.91, compared with Patronato conceding just 0.69 goals on average. Both teams’ recent form has been evenly matched, with each recording 60% draws across their last five matches, making the X/X outcome a significant alternative; however, Patronato’s stronger season-long potential points towards a result after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Patronato | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Patronato is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Patronato · 0.6 pts / match - Almagro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Patronato is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Patronato · 0.81 goals / match - Almagro
Patronato scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Almagro scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Patronato keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Patronato
Over / Under - Almagro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Patronato is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Patronato · 0.88 pts / match - Almagro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Patronato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Almagro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Patronato
Almagro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Patronato | Liga | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 1.94 | • 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Patronato 1 - 1 - 1 Almagro. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Patronato vs Almagro?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Patronato 0:1 Almagro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Patronato and Almagro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1, Almagro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Patronato vs Almagro?
Patronato score 0.88 goals per game on average and Almagro 0.81. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Patronato's matches and 35% of Almagro's.
What form are Patronato and Almagro in?
Over the last 5 games Patronato have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Almagro 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Patronato vs Almagro?
The statistical background for Patronato vs Almagro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.