PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior: match statistics
PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PEC Zwolle play Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
PEC Zwolle: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Excelsior: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
PEC Zwolle scores 1.29 and concedes 2.09 goals per match. Excelsior scores 1.26 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PEC Zwolle 68%, Excelsior 65%. Over 2.5: PEC Zwolle 62%, Excelsior 62%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Excelsior has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.12. PEC Zwolle: 9.7 shots per match, Excelsior: 12.4.
Match halves
PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62. Excelsior: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (10 goals). Excelsior: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back PEC Zwolle to win based on a 50% home win rate versus Excelsior’s 21% away win rate. PEC averages 1.29 goals per home match with an xG of 1.14, while Excelsior scores 1.07 goals away with an xG of 1.27 — the visitors generate slightly more xG (1.27 vs 1.14) but convert less efficiently (10% vs 13%). Defensively the hosts are stronger: Zwolle concedes 1.21 goals at home on average, whereas Excelsior concedes 2.00 goals away, and the away goal difference is -13 compared to the hosts’ +1. Form underpins the advantage: Zwolle averages 1.2 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Excelsior’s 0.2; goals in the last 5 are 4 for Zwolle and 3 for the visitors. Considering the higher home win percentage, better shot conversion (13% vs 10%) and Excelsior’s weaker away defense, I assess probabilities at 60% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PEC Zwolle | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 2.2 pts / match - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Excelsior is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.09 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.65 goals / match - Excelsior
PEC Zwolle scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Excelsior scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — PEC Zwolle
Over / Under — Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.35 pts / match - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PEC Zwolle | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 61% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PEC Zwolle 0 - 0 - 1 Excelsior. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished PEC Zwolle 2:2 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior?
PEC Zwolle score 1.29 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.26. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 68% of PEC Zwolle's matches and 65% of Excelsior's.
What form are PEC Zwolle and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games PEC Zwolle have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Excelsior 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.