Peñarol vs Boston River: match statistics
Peñarol vs Boston River: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peñarol played Boston River in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 26 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Campeón del Siglo. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Boston River: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peñarol scores 1.76 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Boston River scores 0.97 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peñarol 52%, Boston River 48%. Over 2.5: Peñarol 52%, Boston River 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.29. Peñarol: 14.3 shots per match, Boston River: 10.1.
Match halves
Peñarol: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00. Boston River: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Peñarol: 76-90+ (14 goals). Boston River: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol lead the home standings, while across the season they have won 18 of 29 matches and scored 51 goals, compared with Boston River’s 8 wins and 28 goals. At home, the hosts average 1.94 goals with an xG of 1.83, while the visitors score just 0.93 goals away from home and fail to find the net in 40% of their matches. Peñarol’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: they average 14.75 shots and 6.19 shots on target per match, compared with 9.4 and 3.47 for Boston River. The visitors’ away defence concedes an average of 1.80 goals, with an xG against of 1.57, while their away record includes a 60% loss rate and a -13 goal difference. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Boston River have lost 3 of 5, making a Peñarol victory the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is not clear-cut, but both teams’ seasonal metrics are below or close to the league average: Peñarol has seen both teams score in 43% of matches, compared with 53% for Boston River, against a league figure of 51%. Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 29% of matches, while Boston River averages only 0.93 goals per game and fails to score in 40% of its fixtures. The hosts are, however, in good attacking form, scoring 2.2 goals across their last five matches with an xG of 1.66, while their opponents concede an average of 1.2 goals, making a Peñarol goal highly likely. The key uncertainty is whether Boston River will score, as Peñarol has conceded an average of just 1.0 goal over its last five matches and faced an xG of only 1.06. BTTS - Yes has a slight edge as the better pick, although a home win to nil remains a realistic scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Peñarol are in excellent attacking form, scoring 11 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 per game, while Boston River concede as many as 1.8 goals away from home this season. Despite this, the overall profile of the match does not suggest an open, end-to-end contest: the hosts concede just 0.93 goals per game this season and have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their matches. Only 14% of Peñarol’s matches in the competition have gone over 3.5 goals, compared with 20% for Boston River, while the league average stands at 2.38 goals. The projected total of 2.55 goals makes a 2:0, 2:1 or 1:1 scoreline realistic, which is why Under 3.5 is the strongest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Peñarol win after the match, as both teams often start cautiously: the hosts were level at the break in 50% of their matches, while Boston River were level in 60%. In the first halves, Peñarol average only 0.36 goals, compared with 0.27 for the visitors, while 86% and 73% of their respective first halves ended goalless or with very few goals. After the break, the hosts’ advantage should increase, as Boston River concede an average of 1.20 goals, compared with just 0.50 conceded by Peñarol. Current form also supports the hosts: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and 1.4 goals after half-time, while Boston River have lost 3 of their 5 games. Peñarol also possess greater creative quality, averaging 4.5 shots on target compared with the opponent’s 3.47, while Boston River’s defence has kept a clean sheet in only 7% of matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Peñarol · 0.8 pts / match - Boston River
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Peñarol · 0.97 goals / match - Boston River
Peñarol is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.38 goals / match - Boston River
Peñarol scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Boston River scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peñarol
Over / Under - Boston River
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Peñarol · 0.97 pts / match - Boston River
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Boston River - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peñarol
Boston River
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.38 | • 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 44% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 29% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Peñarol 2 - 1 - 1 Boston River. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Boston River?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 2:1 Boston River. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Boston River?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2, Boston River won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Boston River?
Peñarol score 1.76 goals per game on average and Boston River 0.97. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Peñarol's matches and 48% of Boston River's.
What form are Peñarol and Boston River in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Boston River 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Boston River?
The statistical background for Peñarol vs Boston River — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.