Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara: match statistics
Persebaya Surabaya is demonstrating significantly better form, especially in their last five matches, where they have earned 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 goals while conceding only 3. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 50% win rate and a +7 goal difference, while Bhayangkara performs very poorly away from home – just a 20% win rate, 60% losses, and a negative goal difference of -9. Bhayangkara fails to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), and their average of 0.6 goals per away game is alarmingly low compared to the hosts' 1.9 goals per home game. Furthermore, the visitors' form in their last five away matches shows just 1 win against 4 defeats. All these factors indicate a clear advantage for Persebaya Surabaya, who should capitalize on their home field advantage and secure all three points.
Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Persebaya Surabaya played Bhayangkara in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Persebaya Surabaya: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bhayangkara: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.55 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Bhayangkara scores 0.90 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Persebaya Surabaya 60%, Bhayangkara 45%. Over 2.5: Persebaya Surabaya 40%, Bhayangkara 30%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Persebaya Surabaya has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.23. Persebaya Surabaya: 10.3 shots per match, Bhayangkara: 10.3.
Match halves
Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Bhayangkara: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (9 goals). Bhayangkara: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Persebaya Surabaya is demonstrating significantly better form, especially in their last five matches, where they have earned 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 goals while conceding only 3. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 50% win rate and a +7 goal difference, while Bhayangkara performs very poorly away from home – just a 20% win rate, 60% losses, and a negative goal difference of -9. Bhayangkara fails to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), and their average of 0.6 goals per away game is alarmingly low compared to the hosts' 1.9 goals per home game. Furthermore, the visitors' form in their last five away matches shows just 1 win against 4 defeats. All these factors indicate a clear advantage for Persebaya Surabaya, who should capitalize on their home field advantage and secure all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Persebaya Surabaya | Bhayangkara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persebaya Surabaya is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.4 pts / match - Bhayangkara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persebaya Surabaya is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya · 0.9 goals / match - Bhayangkara
Persebaya Surabaya is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.1 goals / match - Bhayangkara
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Bhayangkara keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Bhayangkara scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Persebaya Surabaya
Over / Under - Bhayangkara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bhayangkara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Persebaya Surabaya
Bhayangkara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Persebaya Surabaya | Liga | Bhayangkara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 1 - 0 Bhayangkara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara?
The Liga 1 match finished Persebaya Surabaya 1:2 Bhayangkara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara?
Persebaya Surabaya score 1.55 goals per game on average and Bhayangkara 0.90. The Liga 1 average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Persebaya Surabaya's matches and 45% of Bhayangkara's.
What form are Persebaya Surabaya and Bhayangkara in?
Over the last 5 games Persebaya Surabaya have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bhayangkara 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara?
The statistical background for Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.