Persik Kediri vs Madura United: match statistics

Madura United have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 4, while Persik Kediri have won just once in that period, scoring 4 and conceding 10. The visitors have also won all 3 matches this season, while the hosts have a record of one win, one draw and one defeat. At home, Persik average 12 shots and post an xG of 1.83, but have yet to score there; Madura scored 3 goals from 6 shots in their only away match. The visitors’ clinical finishing points to a win, although their away xG of 0.96, alongside 2.56 xG conceded, suggests their defence could give Persik chances. The home and away statistics come from a small sample of matches, so despite Madura’s advantage, a draw remains a realistic outcome.

BTTS landed in 50% of Persik Kediri's matches and 100% of Madura United's, although those rates were 40% and 60%, respectively, across their last five games. The hosts average 2.17 xG at home, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth 2.56 xG, strongly pointing to a Persik goal. Madura have averaged 2.0 goals in their last five matches, while Persik have conceded an average of 2.0 goals over the same period, making an away goal likely as well. Caution is warranted, however, as Persik have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches and Madura's away xG stands at just 0.96. Even so, the combination of the hosts' recent defensive struggles and the high volume of chances created by Persik gives the edge to the scenario in which both teams score: BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal).

In their last 5 matches, Persik averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Madura averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, pointing to a genuine chance of at least two goals. At home, Persik averages 18.5 shots and posts an xG of 2.17, while Madura allows opponents an xG of 2.56 away from home, so the hosts should also create chances. The visitors’ average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches supports their attacking potential, although their away xG of 0.96 calls for caution with higher goal lines. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: this line was cleared in 100% of the available matches involving both teams, while Over 2.5 landed in 40% of Persik’s last 5 matches and 60% of Madura’s.

Madura United have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals, while Persik Kediri have won just once and conceded an average of 2.0 goals. An away lead at the break is slightly more likely than a draw: in their last 5 matches, Madura led at half-time twice, while Persik were trailing at the break twice. Madura’s ability to maintain an advantage after the break supports this view: over the same period, they won all 5 second halves and scored an average of 1.6 goals in them, compared with Persik’s 0.2. The 2/2 HT/FT pick is not a certainty, however, as the hosts have posted an xG of 2.17 at home, compared with the visitors’ 0.96 away, while Madura have allowed opponents an xG of 2.56. Despite this risk, the visitors’ stronger recent results and regular goals after the break give 2/2 a slight edge over X/2.