Peterhead vs Airdrieonians: match statistics

Peterhead hold a slight home advantage: they average 0.67 goals per match at home, while Airdrieonians score just 0.33 away from home. The hosts also create higher-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.10 compared with the opponents’ 0.86, and their edge is also reflected in shots on target: 3.67 to 2.67 per game. Both teams have struggled offensively, failing to score in 67% of their respective home and away matches, which clearly increases the likelihood of a low-scoring draw. Airdrieonians have, however, shown the better defensive trend across their last five matches, conceding 5 goals compared with Peterhead’s 9, but they have lost 67% of their away fixtures and are yet to record a victory on the road. With both teams in similar current form, averaging 1.4 points per match across their last five appearances, a Peterhead win is marginally more likely.

The stronger signal points toward BTTS - No, primarily due to Airdrieonians’ very limited away scoring efficiency: the visitors average just 0.33 goals and have failed to score in 67% of their matches. Peterhead keep a clean sheet in 50% of home games, further increasing the likelihood that the visitors will once again fail to find the net. The hosts are not a team that scores regularly either, averaging 0.75 goals, although the visitors’ weak defense, conceding 2.00 goals per match, gives them a solid foundation to score at least once. Peterhead’s last five matches produced BTTS in 80% of cases, but Airdrieonians recorded only 40% over the same period, while the league-season average for both teams to score is a low 39%. A one-sided scoring scenario—particularly a Peterhead win to nil or a low-scoring 0:0 draw—is therefore more likely than goals from both teams.

Peterhead average just 0.75 goals at home, while Airdrieonians score only 0.33 away from home, limiting the match’s baseline attacking potential. However, the hosts can exploit the weakness of the opposition defence, with Airdrieonians conceding 2.00 goals per away game, which is why their projected goal tally stands at 1.28. Although Peterhead’s last five appearances produced Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, both teams stayed below 3.5 goals in 75% and 67% of their season matches, respectively. In addition, neither team has played a match with at least five goals this season, and the combined projection of 2.15 goals strongly supports Under 3.5.

The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Peterhead win, as the hosts have been level at the break in 50% of their matches, while the average first-half goal figures for both teams are low: 0.75 for the hosts and 0.67 for the visitors. Peterhead hold a clear full-match advantage, averaging 0.75 goals compared with just 0.33 for Airdrieonians, while the visitors concede as many as 2.00 goals per match. In the second halves, Airdrieonians have averaged no goals scored while allowing their opponents 1.67 goals, which supports the match turning in the hosts’ favour after the break. Peterhead also have the stronger attacking xG, 1.11 compared with 0.86, and average 3.25 shots on target versus 2.67 for their opponents. Although the visitors’ last five matches have been more solid, featuring a 60% rate of leading at the break and no goals conceded before half-time, their season-long away record includes 0% wins and 67% defeats; therefore, the X/1 scenario remains the strongest.