Picerno vs Cosenza: match statistics
Picerno vs Cosenza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Picerno played Cosenza in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Picerno: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Cosenza: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Picerno scores 2.00 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Cosenza scores 0.63 and concedes 2.25. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Picerno 75%, Cosenza 50%. Over 2.5: Picerno 75%, Cosenza 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Picerno has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. Picerno: 12.0 shots per match, Cosenza: 10.9.
Match halves
Picerno: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13. Cosenza: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Picerno: 31-45+ (4 goals). Cosenza: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Picerno have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Cosenza have lost all 4 of their away games, clearly favouring the hosts. Picerno average 2.75 goals per game at home, while Cosenza concede 3.25 on the road; the gap in shooting efficiency is also significant: 24% versus 7%. The visitors average just 0.75 goals away from home and have failed to score in half of those matches, although their away xG of 1.47 suggests they can create chances. The hosts also have a weakness: they concede an average of 2 goals at home and have let in as many as 12 in their last 5 matches. Although Picerno have lost 4 of their last 5 games, Cosenza’s run of 4 consecutive away defeats and the hosts’ edge in finishing make a Picerno win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 50% of their matches, so their results to date do not favor the scenario of goals at both ends. Cosenza average 0.75 goals away from home, and have averaged just 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches, scoring only twice. Picerno are also ineffective at home, averaging 0.5 goals, although Cosenza’s defense concede as many as 3.25 goals per away match. This defensive weakness increases the likelihood of Picerno scoring, but does not resolve the doubts over Cosenza’s own attacking efficiency. Therefore, BTTS - No is marginally more likely: this means at least one team will fail to score, not necessarily that the match will end 0-0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for at least 2 goals: in both Picerno and Cosenza matches, the 1.5 line was surpassed in 75% of games. Cosenza concede an average of 3.25 goals in the away matches analyzed, boosting Picerno’s chances despite their modest average of 0.5 goals scored at home. The hosts’ attacking potential looks stronger in the chance-creation data: their average xG is 1.33, and they have scored 1.4 goals per game across their last 5 matches. Higher lines are less reliable, as over 2.5 goals landed in 25% of Picerno’s home matches, compared with 75% of Cosenza’s away matches. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.85 goals, Over 1.5 is the safest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: in Picerno’s four home matches and Cosenza’s four away matches so far, this outcome has occurred twice in each case, and the visitors have yet to lead at the break. Cosenza’s poor defensive record away from home supports a potential second-half turnaround in the hosts’ favour, with an average of 3.25 goals conceded per match, including 2.25 after half-time. In their last five matches, Cosenza have averaged just 0.2 goals in the second half and lost that half in four of them, increasing the chances of Picerno settling the match after the break. However, X/1 is not a certainty: Picerno have yet to win at home and average only 0.5 goals there, so a draw at full-time remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Picerno | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Picerno is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Picerno · 0.4 pts / match - Cosenza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Picerno is 217% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Picerno · 0.63 goals / match - Cosenza
Picerno is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Picerno · 2.25 goals / match - Cosenza
Picerno scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Cosenza keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Cosenza scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Picerno
Over / Under - Cosenza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Picerno is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Picerno · 0.88 pts / match - Cosenza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cosenza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Picerno
Cosenza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Picerno | Liga | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.88 | 2.83 | • 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 28% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Picerno 1 - 0 - 1 Cosenza. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Picerno vs Cosenza?
The Serie C Group C match finished Picerno 1:2 Cosenza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Picerno and Cosenza?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Picerno won 1, Cosenza won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Picerno vs Cosenza?
Picerno score 2.00 goals per game on average and Cosenza 0.63. The Serie C Group C average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Picerno's matches and 50% of Cosenza's.
What form are Picerno and Cosenza in?
Over the last 5 games Picerno have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cosenza 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Picerno vs Cosenza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Picerno vs Cosenza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.