Pineto vs Forlì: match statistics
Pineto vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pineto played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 16 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Pineto: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. Forlì: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pineto scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Forlì scores 2.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pineto 50%, Forlì 75%. Over 2.5: Pineto 50%, Forlì 75%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Pineto has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.60. Pineto: 13.3 shots per match, Forlì: 14.3.
Match halves
Pineto: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Pineto: 0-15 (1 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pineto remain winless this season, but they drew their only home match so far 0:0, keeping a clean sheet despite allowing the opposition just 0.64 xG. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average of 1.58 xG and register 14 shots per match, yet they have still failed to score, significantly limiting their ability to capitalize on their creative advantage. Forlì have already scored 8 goals in three matches, but away from home they average just 1 goal scored, concede 2, and allow their opponents as much as 1.96 xG. The visitors have won neither of their two away matches, recording one draw and one defeat, while Pineto have drawn three of their last five games. The combination of the hosts’ solid defensive record and low finishing efficiency, along with Forlì’s inconsistent away form, makes the draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is moderately positive: both teams have scored in 100% of Pineto’s matches so far, compared with 50% for Forlì; over the last five fixtures, the figures stand at 60% and 80%, respectively. Forlì have been particularly reliable in attack, averaging 2.0 goals across their last five matches with an xG of 1.41, while Pineto conceded 1.0 goal per game over the same period. The hosts have scored just 0.6 goals per match recently, but their xG of 1.34, combined with Forlì conceding an average of 2.0 goals and allowing an xG of 1.65, supports the likelihood of Pineto finding the net. Neither team has kept a clean sheet in the season data, while Pineto’s offensive edge is also reflected in 7 shots on target and 15 attempts per match, compared with 3 and 7.5 for the visitors. The main risk to the pick is Pineto’s weaker recent finishing, but Forlì’s defensive profile and the high BTTS indicators marginally favour a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The 2.55-goal projection is based on the latest xG indicators: Pineto created chances worth 1.34 xG per match, while Forlì allowed opponents 1.65 xG. In their last five matches, the visitors averaged 2.0 goals scored, compared with 1.41 xG, while Pineto conceded an average of 1.0 goal and failed to keep a clean sheet in the available season data. Matches involving Pineto went over 2.5 goals in 40% of their last five games, compared with 60% for Forlì, leaving the 2.5 line close to balanced. The strongest signal comes from Over 1.5 goals, as both teams recorded more than 1.5 total goals in 100% of the specified season matches, while the visitors’ attacking potential increases the likelihood of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Forlì victory at the final whistle, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, or 60% of the time. Pineto have a clear problem in attack during this period, averaging just 0.6 goals per match and 0.4 before the break, while Forlì average 2.0 goals per match and 1.0 in the first half. However, the visitors are defensively vulnerable, conceding 2.0 goals per game, which is why a goalless or level opening remains more credible than Forlì taking the lead at the break. After half-time, Pineto have averaged just 0.2 goals across their last five matches, compared with 1.0 for Forlì, strengthening the visitors’ chances of turning an evenly balanced match in their favour. The hosts’ seasonal data are very strong, with an xG of 1.85 compared with Forlì’s 1.00, but they are based on an extremely small sample and conflict with Pineto’s current form, having failed to win any of their last five matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pineto | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forlì is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Pineto · 1.75 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 233% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Pineto · 2.5 goals / match - Forlì
Pineto is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Pineto · 2 goals / match - Forlì
Pineto scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Forlì scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pineto
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forlì is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Pineto · 1.25 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pineto - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pineto
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Pineto | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.50 | ▲ 4.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Pineto 1 - 1 - 0 Forlì. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pineto vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Pineto 1:1 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pineto and Forlì?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pineto won 1, Forlì won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pineto vs Forlì?
Pineto score 0.75 goals per game on average and Forlì 2.50. The Serie C Group B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pineto's matches and 75% of Forlì's.
What form are Pineto and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Pineto have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Forlì 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pineto vs Forlì?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pineto vs Forlì: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.