PK-35 vs MP: match statistics
PK-35 vs MP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PK-35 played MP in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 26 June 2026. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
PK-35: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. MP: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
PK-35 scores 1.45 and concedes 0.55 goals per match. MP scores 0.82 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PK-35 27%, MP 27%. Over 2.5: PK-35 27%, MP 27%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
PK-35 has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.26. PK-35: 11.6 shots per match, MP: 10.2.
Match halves
PK-35: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00. MP: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
PK-35: 46-60 (6 goals). MP: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PK-35 is the match favorite: they sit 2nd, have 6 wins this season and 16 goals scored, while MP are 7th with 4 wins and 9 goals. In the last 5 matches PK-35 scored 8 goals, with a 3-2-0 record, averaging 2.2 points per game and conceding only 1 goal; MP in their last 5 scored 6 goals, have a 2-1-2 record, averaging 1.4 points per game and conceding 6 goals. At home PK-35 averages 1.6 goals per game, 12 shots and 3.8 on target with a conversion rate of 13%, whereas MP away average only 0.67 goals per game, 10 shots and 4.5 on target but a low conversion of 7% and fail to score in 50% of away matches. xG also slightly favors the hosts: PK-35 home xG is 1.43 versus MP away xG of 1.29, and with similar xG against (1.37 vs 1.38) the hosts’ better finishing is decisive. Considering league position, average 2.2 points per game vs 1.4, lower loss rate for PK-35 at home (20% vs MP’s 67% away loss rate) and the defensive difference in the last 5 matches (1 conceded vs 6 conceded), I expect a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate 70% for No BTTS and 30% for BTTS - Yes. Seasonally PK-35 has BTTS in 40% of matches, MP only 17%, and the league BTTS average is 38%, while as many as 71% of league games end with at least one team keeping a clean sheet. PK-35 have scored 16 and conceded 6 this season, whereas MP have 9 scored and 12 conceded; in the last 5 matches PK-35 conceded only 1 and scored 8, while MP conceded 6 and scored 6. The xG of both teams is similar (1.23 vs 1.29), but MP register more shots on target (4.5 vs 3.0) with lower conversion (7% versus 10% for PK-35), so they create chances but less often convert them into goals. Given MP's low seasonal BTTS (17%), PK-35's strong recent defensive form and the league's high clean sheet rate, I select the scenario that both teams will not score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model gives 1.31 xG for PK-35 and 1.35 xG for MP, totaling 2.66 expected goals. In the last 5 matches PK-35 averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded (8 scored, 1 conceded), while MP averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded (6/6), which increases the likelihood of goals. Seasonal averages show 1.0 goals for the home side and 0.67 for the away side, but xG (1.23 vs 1.29) and shots (10.4 vs 10.0) suggest greater potential than raw goal figures. The Poisson distribution for λ=2.66 yields ~75% for over 1.5, ~50% for over 2.5 and ~28% for over 3.5, and the fact that over 0.5 occurred in 100% of both teams' matches supports a bet on at least two goals. On this basis the strongest and best-justified signal is over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is PK-35 leading at Half-Time and the hosts winning the match (1/1). PK-35 led at the break in 60% of matches and score on average 0.6 goals before Half-Time versus 0.17 for MP, with a cumulative Half-Time goal balance of 5 for the hosts and 2 for the visitors. Over the whole season PK-35 averages 1.4 points per game versus 1.0 for MP, and in the last 5 fixtures the hosts won 60% of matches compared to 40% for the visitors, which increases the chance of maintaining a lead. After the break in the last 5 matches PK-35 scored on average 1.2 goals and conceded 0.2, while MP scored 0.8 and conceded 1.0, so the hosts more frequently extend their advantage in the second half. Despite similar xG (1.23 for PK-35 vs 1.29 for MP) and a higher number of shots on target for the visitors (4.5 vs 3.0), PK-35’s superior efficiency (conversion 10% vs 7%) and stronger Half-Time metrics justify assigning the highest probability to HT/FT 1/1 (38%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PK-35 | MP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PK-35 is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - PK-35 · 1.4 pts / match - MP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PK-35 is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - PK-35 · 0.82 goals / match - MP
PK-35 is 98% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.55 goals / match - PK-35 · 1.09 goals / match - MP
PK-35 scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
MP scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while PK-35 keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PK-35
Over / Under - MP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PK-35 is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - PK-35 · 1.45 pts / match - MP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PK-35 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PK-35
MP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| PK-35 | Liga | MP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.29 | ▼ 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 40% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 35% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 67% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PK-35 1 - 0 - 0 MP. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PK-35 vs MP?
The Ykkösliiga match finished PK-35 2:1 MP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PK-35 vs MP?
PK-35 score 1.45 goals per game on average and MP 0.82. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 27% of PK-35's matches and 27% of MP's.
What form are PK-35 and MP in?
Over the last 5 games PK-35 have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and MP 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PK-35 vs MP?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PK-35 vs MP: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.