Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 13 September 2026

Plateau United vs Kwara United: match statistics

Plateau United crest
Plateau United
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Kwara United crest
Kwara United
165%(0.00)
X25%(0.00)
210%(0.00)

Plateau United are showing significantly better form, having earned 11 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to just 3 points for Kwara United (1 win, 4 losses). The hosts are extremely effective at home, winning 67% of their home matches with a goal difference of +7 and 58% clean sheets. Kwara United have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game and scoring just 0.42 goals. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.62 vs 0.87), and Plateau's recent home form (unbeaten run) contrasts with the visitors' disastrous 12-match winless run away. All indicators point to a certain victory for the hosts.

Plateau United vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Plateau United played Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Plateau United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Kwara United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Plateau United scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.83 and concedes 0.91. League average: 1.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Plateau United 42%, Kwara United 30%. Over 2.5: Plateau United 42%, Kwara United 22%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.

xG, shots and style

Plateau United has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.01. Plateau United: 9.5 shots per match, Kwara United: 3.8.

Match halves

Plateau United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Kwara United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Plateau United: 46-60 (6 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Plateau United are showing significantly better form, having earned 11 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to just 3 points for Kwara United (1 win, 4 losses). The hosts are extremely effective at home, winning 67% of their home matches with a goal difference of +7 and 58% clean sheets. Kwara United have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game and scoring just 0.42 goals. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.62 vs 0.87), and Plateau's recent home form (unbeaten run) contrasts with the visitors' disastrous 12-match winless run away. All indicators point to a certain victory for the hosts.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Plateau UnitedKwara United
12Shots9
Plateau UnitedKwara United
1Shots on target4
Plateau UnitedKwara United
1.55xG1.29
Plateau UnitedKwara United
5Corners2
Plateau UnitedKwara United
99Dangerous attacks60
Plateau UnitedKwara United
7Fouls21
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0Cards0
Plateau UnitedKwara United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Plateau UnitedKwara United
0.88Goals scored / match0.83
Plateau UnitedKwara United
1.13Goals conceded / match0.91
Plateau UnitedKwara United
41%Average possession25%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
2.75Shots on target / match0.96
Plateau UnitedKwara United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.5Shots per match3.83
Plateau UnitedKwara United
2.75Shots on target0.96
Plateau UnitedKwara United
9.2%Shot conversion21.6%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
41%Possession25%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
1.39xG for1.01
Plateau UnitedKwara United
1.35xG against1.36
Plateau UnitedKwara United

Shooting quality

Plateau United: BalancedKwara United: Counter-attacking
Plateau UnitedKwara United
Accuracy (shots on target)29%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.26
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.86

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Plateau United is 267% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Plateau United · 0.6 pts / match - Kwara United

Plateau United
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-12
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Kwara United
LLLLW
Season result split
30% W26% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-10
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-8
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.94Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Plateau United is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Plateau United · 0.83 goals / match - Kwara United

Kwara United is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Plateau United · 0.91 goals / match - Kwara United

Plateau United scoring profile: strong

Plateau United scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

Kwara United scoring profile: mixed

Kwara United scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Plateau United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).

21Goals scored (season)19
Plateau UnitedKwara United
27Goals conceded (season)21
Plateau UnitedKwara United
2Average goals in match1.74
Plateau UnitedKwara United
6Goals scored (last 5)2
Plateau UnitedKwara United
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Plateau UnitedKwara United

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal48%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
21%2 goals30%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0%3 goals4%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0%4 goals0%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal65%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
38%2 goals17%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
4%3 goals9%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
4%4 goals0%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
4%Scored in both halves22%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
60%BTTS - last 520%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time48%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Plateau United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Plateau United · 1.13 pts / match - Kwara United

Plateau United - half-time state
21% leading58% draw21% trailing
Kwara United - half-time state
22% leading48% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.13
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0.75Average goals (1st half)0.96
Plateau UnitedKwara United
63%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
67%No goal before half-time61%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.04Points per match (2nd half)1.17
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Plateau UnitedKwara United
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
Plateau UnitedKwara United
1.25Average goals (2nd half)0.78
Plateau UnitedKwara United
46%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Plateau UnitedKwara United
63%No goal after half-time70%
Plateau UnitedKwara United

Plateau United - second-half results

21% W42% D38% L
29
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kwara United - second-half results

17% W65% D17% L
26
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Plateau United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Kwara United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Plateau United
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
6
7
46-60
3
6
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
6
16-30
6
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Plateau United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
195%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.95
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Plateau UnitedLigaKwara United
Average goals in match 2.001.85 1.74
Both teams scored 42%36% 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%27% 22%
Clean sheets 33%38% 35%
Goal before half-time 54%61% 65%
Goal after half-time 71%59% 48%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.85
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+119%
Home attack advantage
+54%
Home defence advantage
+44%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Plateau UnitedSubstitutionOn: Gideon MondayOff: Gafar Saka
  2. Plateau UnitedGoalAbubakar AdamuAssist: Wisdom Joshua Ndon

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Plateau United 0 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Kwara United
2 : 1
Plateau United

FAQ

What was the result of Plateau United vs Kwara United?

The NPFL match finished Plateau United 1:0 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Plateau United vs Kwara United?

Plateau United score 0.88 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.83. The NPFL average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Plateau United's matches and 30% of Kwara United's.

What form are Plateau United and Kwara United in?

Over the last 5 games Plateau United have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Kwara United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plateau United vs Kwara United?

The statistical background for Plateau United vs Kwara United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.