Plateau United vs Kwara United: match statistics
Plateau United are showing significantly better form, having earned 11 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to just 3 points for Kwara United (1 win, 4 losses). The hosts are extremely effective at home, winning 67% of their home matches with a goal difference of +7 and 58% clean sheets. Kwara United have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game and scoring just 0.42 goals. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.62 vs 0.87), and Plateau's recent home form (unbeaten run) contrasts with the visitors' disastrous 12-match winless run away. All indicators point to a certain victory for the hosts.
Plateau United vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Plateau United played Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Plateau United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Kwara United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Plateau United scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.83 and concedes 0.91. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Plateau United 42%, Kwara United 30%. Over 2.5: Plateau United 42%, Kwara United 22%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Plateau United has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.01. Plateau United: 9.5 shots per match, Kwara United: 3.8.
Match halves
Plateau United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Kwara United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Plateau United: 46-60 (6 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Plateau United are showing significantly better form, having earned 11 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to just 3 points for Kwara United (1 win, 4 losses). The hosts are extremely effective at home, winning 67% of their home matches with a goal difference of +7 and 58% clean sheets. Kwara United have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game and scoring just 0.42 goals. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.62 vs 0.87), and Plateau's recent home form (unbeaten run) contrasts with the visitors' disastrous 12-match winless run away. All indicators point to a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Plateau United | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.86 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Plateau United is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Plateau United · 0.6 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Plateau United is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Plateau United · 0.83 goals / match - Kwara United
Kwara United is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Plateau United · 0.91 goals / match - Kwara United
Plateau United scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Kwara United scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Plateau United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Plateau United
Over / Under - Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Plateau United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Plateau United · 1.13 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Plateau United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Plateau United
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Plateau United | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.85 | ▼ 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 36% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 61% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▼ 48% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Plateau United 0 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Plateau United vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Plateau United 1:0 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Plateau United vs Kwara United?
Plateau United score 0.88 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.83. The NPFL average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Plateau United's matches and 30% of Kwara United's.
What form are Plateau United and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Plateau United have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Kwara United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plateau United vs Kwara United?
The statistical background for Plateau United vs Kwara United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


