Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Plymouth Argyle play Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Plymouth Argyle: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Plymouth Argyle scores 1.63 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.55 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Plymouth Argyle 54%, Bolton Wanderers 61%. Over 2.5: Plymouth Argyle 59%, Bolton Wanderers 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.53. Plymouth Argyle: 13.8 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.5.
Match halves
Plymouth Argyle: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Plymouth Argyle: 31-45+ (16 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (28 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I forecast a Plymouth Argyle win: the hosts have a clear form advantage — in their last 5 matches they recorded 4 wins and 1 draw (average 2.6 points per game) and scored 11 goals in that period (2.2 per game). Bolton Wanderers sit higher in the table (3rd) and across the season have 17 wins, 15 draws and 7 losses; away they concede on average 1.2 goals and score 1.05 goals per game, indicating a solid but inefficient offense on the road. Statistically Bolton control matches away (average possession 61% and 14.8 shots per game) and have higher expected goals away (xG 1.65) compared to Plymouth at home (possession 51%, 13.5 shots and xG 1.49), meaning they generate higher-quality chances. However, Plymouth at home is more efficient: on average 1.4 goals per game with 10% shot conversion and 4.55 shots on target, while Bolton have only 7% conversion and 4.6 shots on target away; additionally the hosts conceded only 4 goals in their last 5 matches (0.8 per game). Considering superior short-term form, higher efficiency and the fact Bolton frequently draw away (45% draws), I assess the probabilities as: Plymouth win 50%, draw 30%, Bolton win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Plymouth Argyle | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Plymouth Argyle is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 2 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Plymouth Argyle is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.55 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.08 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Plymouth Argyle scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (13 of 49 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 80% of matches (39 of 49 matches), while Plymouth Argyle keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Plymouth Argyle
Over / Under — Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Plymouth Argyle is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.29 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Plymouth Argyle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (28 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +20 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Plymouth Argyle
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Plymouth Argyle | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.62 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Plymouth Argyle 0 - 0 - 1 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Plymouth Argyle 1:2 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers?
Plymouth Argyle score 1.63 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.55. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Plymouth Argyle's matches and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Plymouth Argyle and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Plymouth Argyle have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers?
The statistical background for Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.