Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City: match statistics
Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Plymouth Argyle played Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Plymouth Argyle: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Exeter City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Plymouth Argyle scores 1.56 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Exeter City scores 1.07 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Plymouth Argyle 49%, Exeter City 38%. Over 2.5: Plymouth Argyle 56%, Exeter City 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Plymouth Argyle has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.22. Plymouth Argyle: 13.1 shots per match, Exeter City: 10.6.
Match halves
Plymouth Argyle: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.85. Exeter City: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Plymouth Argyle: 31-45+ (15 goals). Exeter City: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Plymouth holds a clear advantage: they sit 8th in the table vs Exeter’s 21st and have scored 64 goals this season compared to the opponent’s 45; in the last 5 matches the home side has netted 10 goals while the visitors only 5. At home Plymouth averages 1.38 goals per game with an average xG of 1.50, whereas Exeter as an away team averages 0.90 goals per game and xG 1.01, indicating higher quality of chances created by the hosts. The offensive gap is confirmed by shot metrics: Plymouth averages 13.52 shots and 4.52 on target per match, Exeter 8.62 and 2.67, with the same conversion rate of 10%, so the greater volume of attempts translates into more goals for the hosts. Form also favors Plymouth — the hosts average 2 points per game over the last 5 matches vs Exeter’s 0.8, and the percentage of matches without scoring is 19% for Plymouth and 43% for Exeter. Defensively they are similar (1.43 conceded for Plymouth vs 1.38 for Exeter), but Exeter’s poorer away record (-10) versus Plymouth’s home record (-1) and the advantage in chance creation support predicting a home win: 65% chance, 20% draw, 15% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favour No BTTS (No Goal) because Exeter's away goals average is only 0.90 this season and they have scored 1.0 goal on average in their last 5 matches, significantly limiting their scoring prospects. Plymouth keep a clean sheet in 43% of home games and concede 1.14 goals seasonally; in their last 5 matches they conceded 1.0 goal on average, indicating a stable home defence. Plymouth's attack averages 1.24 goals and xG 1.43 this season, while Exeter register an xG against of 1.56; conversely Exeter's xG is 1.01 and they average only 2.67 shots on target, so the hosts are the more likely scorers. Additionally, seasonal BTTS rates: Plymouth at home 33% and Exeter away 43% are below the league BTTS average of 51%, while the league also has 55% of matches with a clean sheet expected, which supports a one-scorer scenario. Considering these figures and the conflicting short-term signals (last 5: BTTS 60% for Plymouth vs 20% for Exeter), I assess No BTTS at 65% and BTTS (Yes) at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals: Plymouth 1.50 (average of xG for and xG against: 1.43 and 1.56) and Exeter 1.16 (average of xG for 1.01 and xG against 1.31), total 2.66. Season indicators show Over 1.5 occurs in 71% of Plymouth matches and 52% of Exeter matches; additionally Plymouth scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per match) and has 80% Over 2.5, which strongly increases the probability of more goals. Plymouth averages 12.48 shots and 4.1 on target per game versus Exeter 8.62 and 2.67, with the same conversion rate of 10%, suggesting a clear chance-creation advantage for the home side. Season Over 2.5 is 43% for both teams, but the combined xG of 2.66 and Plymouth’s form raise the likelihood of Over 2.5, while Over 3.5 remains unlikely (seasonOver35: 19% and 24%). Therefore I recommend backing the over 1.5 line as the strongest and most reliable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Plymouth have a clear offensive edge: seasonally they score 1.24 goals on average with an xG of 1.43, versus Exeter’s 0.9 goals and 1.01 xG. At half-time the home side have led in 24% of matches this season (20% in the last 5), while a half-time draw occurred in 40% of their last 5 games, so an X at the break is a common scenario. The second half is crucial: in the last 5 matches Plymouth have averaged 1.6 goals after the break versus 0.6 for Exeter and have won the second half in 80% of those games. Additionally the hosts register 4.1 shots on target on average compared to 2.67 for the visitors with the same 10% conversion, confirming greater attacking threat; therefore the most reliable scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win (X/1), which I assign 22% as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Plymouth Argyle | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Plymouth Argyle is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 0.8 pts / match - Exeter City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Plymouth Argyle is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.07 goals / match - Exeter City
Exeter City is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.26 goals / match - Exeter City
Plymouth Argyle scores in 78% of matches (32 of 41 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
Exeter City scores in 62% of matches (26 of 42 matches), while Plymouth Argyle keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 41 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Plymouth Argyle
Over / Under - Exeter City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Plymouth Argyle is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 0.98 pts / match - Exeter City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Plymouth Argyle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Plymouth Argyle
Exeter City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Plymouth Argyle | Liga | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Plymouth Argyle 0 - 0 - 1 Exeter City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?
The EFL League One match finished Plymouth Argyle 2:2 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?
Plymouth Argyle score 1.56 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.07. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Plymouth Argyle's matches and 38% of Exeter City's.
What form are Plymouth Argyle and Exeter City in?
Over the last 5 games Plymouth Argyle have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Exeter City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City?
The statistical background for Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.