Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town: match statistics
The match shapes up to be very evenly contested, arguing for a draw. Plymouth Argyle has recently shown good form with three victories in their last five matches and remains unbeaten in five outings, yet their home record remains poor (31% wins, 54% losses). Luton Town occupies a higher position in the table (7th place) and has better shot conversion efficiency on the road (13% vs 8% for the hosts), but their form in the last five matches is inferior (1.4 PPG vs 2.2 PPG for Plymouth). xG statistics are close for both teams, and the high possession percentage for the visitors (59%) may be neutralized by the hosts' good defense in recent games (only 5 goals conceded in the last 5 matches). Taking all factors into account, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Plymouth Argyle played Luton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Plymouth Argyle: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Luton Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Plymouth Argyle scores 1.27 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Luton Town scores 1.42 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Plymouth Argyle 42%, Luton Town 42%. Over 2.5: Plymouth Argyle 46%, Luton Town 54%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Luton Town has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.30. Plymouth Argyle: 11.8 shots per match, Luton Town: 12.5.
Match halves
Plymouth Argyle: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. Luton Town: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Plymouth Argyle: 61-75 (8 goals). Luton Town: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be very evenly contested, arguing for a draw. Plymouth Argyle has recently shown good form with three victories in their last five matches and remains unbeaten in five outings, yet their home record remains poor (31% wins, 54% losses). Luton Town occupies a higher position in the table (7th place) and has better shot conversion efficiency on the road (13% vs 8% for the hosts), but their form in the last five matches is inferior (1.4 PPG vs 2.2 PPG for Plymouth). xG statistics are close for both teams, and the high possession percentage for the visitors (59%) may be neutralized by the hosts' good defense in recent games (only 5 goals conceded in the last 5 matches). Taking all factors into account, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Plymouth Argyle | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luton Town is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 2 pts / match - Luton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luton Town is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.42 goals / match - Luton Town
Luton Town is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.23 goals / match - Luton Town
Plymouth Argyle scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
Luton Town scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Plymouth Argyle keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Plymouth Argyle
Over / Under - Luton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Luton Town is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Plymouth Argyle · 1.23 pts / match - Luton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Plymouth Argyle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Plymouth Argyle
Luton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Plymouth Argyle | Liga | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.77 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Plymouth Argyle 1 - 0 - 0 Luton Town. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Plymouth Argyle 1:0 Luton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town?
Plymouth Argyle score 1.27 goals per game on average and Luton Town 1.42. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Plymouth Argyle's matches and 42% of Luton Town's.
What form are Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Plymouth Argyle have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Luton Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.