Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville: match statistics

Plymouth Parkway come into this fixture on the back of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five matches, scoring as many as 18 goals in the process. The hosts won their only home match so far 7:0 while keeping a clean sheet, which stands in stark contrast to Havant & Waterlooville’s away struggles. The visitors have lost all of their away matches, failed to score in any of them and concede an average of 2 goals per game. Their recent form reads 4 defeats in 5 matches, with just 2 goals scored and 9 conceded, while their away xG stands at only 1.27 compared with 1.70 allowed to opponents. Such a significant gap in attacking efficiency, results trend and defensive quality strongly favours a Plymouth Parkway win.

The strongest signal is Havant & Waterlooville’s very limited attacking efficiency: in away data, the team averages 0.0 goals scored, while over their last five matches they have averaged just 0.4 goals. The visitors have failed to score in 100% of their away fixtures, whereas Plymouth Parkway have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches and conceded an average of 1.4 goals over their last five games. BTTS in both teams’ season statistics stands at 0%, while the visitors’ recent form also confirms the low rate of just 20%, clearly below the league average of 45%. Plymouth are in good attacking form, scoring an average of 3.6 goals in their last five matches, but this profile supports a home-team-only scoring outcome more than goals from both sides. Although the visitors generate an average of 1.27 xG, their lack of actual goal production and poor form—four defeats in five matches—point towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score. In betting terms, BTTS - No is the stronger selection.

Plymouth Parkway are in excellent attacking form, scoring 18 goals in their last 5 matches—an average of 3.6 per game—while Havant & Waterlooville have conceded 1.8 goals per match over the same period. However, the visitors remain very limited in attack: they have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 appearances (0.4 per game), have failed to score in every away match so far, and average 1.27 xG. Plymouth have solid defensive foundations, allowing opponents an average of just 0.88 xG across their last five fixtures and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches. Despite the hosts’ attacking potential, both teams have recorded Under 3.5 goals in 100% of their matches this season, while the visitors’ poor attack clearly reduces the likelihood of a four-goal game. The strongest selection is therefore Under 3.5 goals, covering the most likely home-win scenarios of 1:0, 2:0 or 2:1.

Plymouth Parkway have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals, while Havant & Waterlooville have suffered 4 defeats and scored just 0.4 goals per match. The strongest signal concerns the first half: the hosts led at the break in 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, while the visitors failed to lead in any of those games and scored just 0.2 goals on average. Plymouth’s superiority is also evident after the interval, with the team averaging 1.8 goals in second halves, whereas Havant & Waterlooville failed to score in the second half in 80% of their last five appearances. In addition, the hosts create chances worth an average of 1.92 xG from 18 shots per match, while the visitors concede an average of 1.8 goals. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT scenario is Plymouth leading at the break and securing the full-time victory (1/1).