Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: match statistics
Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pogoń Szczecin played Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Korona Kielce: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Korona Kielce scores 1.33 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pogoń Szczecin 50%, Korona Kielce 67%. Over 2.5: Pogoń Szczecin 38%, Korona Kielce 33%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Korona Kielce has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.56. Pogoń Szczecin: 13.6 shots per match, Korona Kielce: 13.8.
Match halves
Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.88. Korona Kielce: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Pogoń Szczecin: 46-60 (4 goals). Korona Kielce: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Korona Kielce have won 3 of their 4 away matches so far, while Pogoń Szczecin have won 2 of 5 at home. The visitors also have a slightly better record over their last five matches, with 3 wins compared to the hosts’ 2, although both teams have scored 7 goals during that period. Pogoń create slightly better chances at home, averaging 1.77 xG compared to Korona’s 1.66 away, and register more shots on target — 5.8 versus 4.5 per match. However, Korona are more effective at limiting goals conceded on the road, averaging 0.75 against Pogoń’s 1.0 at home. The differences are marginal, but Korona’s away record points to an away win in a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of Pogoń’s matches and 50% of Korona’s, rising to 80% and 60% respectively across their last 5 outings, which points to goals at both ends. Pogoń average 1.2 goals per match, while Korona average 1.5; both also record similar xG figures of 1.61 and 1.66, giving each side a solid basis to score. Particularly noteworthy is that Pogoń have yet to keep a clean sheet, while Korona have conceded an average of 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches, against opponents’ xG of 1.78. A slight concern for this selection is Korona’s 25% clean-sheet rate, along with the fact that Pogoń failed to score in 20% of their matches. Even so, the stronger attacking indicators and recent BTTS frequency suggest that both teams are more likely to find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Pogoń's matches and 75% of Korona's. Pogoń average 1.2 goals, while Korona average 1.5; meanwhile, the hosts have yet to keep a clean sheet, increasing the likelihood of an away goal. The attacking potential of both teams is supported by xG figures of 1.61 for Pogoń and 1.66 for Korona. Higher lines are less convincing, as Over 2.5 goals has landed in only 20% of Pogoń's matches and 50% of Korona's. With a projected total of 2.65 goals, Over 1.5 requires less finishing efficiency than the other lines and is backed most strongly by results so far.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest indication that Korona will lead at the break is their record of leading in 3 of 4 matches, while Pogoń have not led at half-time in any of their last 5 games. The visitors average 1.0 goals scored and 0.25 conceded before the break, compared with 0.8 and 0.6 respectively for the hosts. Korona’s 75% win rate and an average of 0.75 goals conceded per match also support them holding on to their advantage, compared with Pogoń’s 20% win rate and 1.4 goals conceded. However, the 2/2 HT/FT pick is not a certainty: Pogoń were level at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.0 goal scored in the second half. Despite this risk, Korona’s advantage early in matches and in final results makes an away lead at half-time followed by an away win the most likely individual scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pogoń Szczecin | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Korona Kielce is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 2 pts / match - Korona Kielce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.33 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Pogoń Szczecin is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.11 goals / match - Korona Kielce
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Korona Kielce scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin · 1.89 pts / match - Korona Kielce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 44%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pogoń Szczecin
Korona Kielce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Pogoń Szczecin | Liga | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 3.01 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 67% | • 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 63% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 68% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 86% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Pogoń Szczecin 1 - 0 - 1 Korona Kielce. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 Korona Kielce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pogoń Szczecin and Korona Kielce?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 1, Korona Kielce won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Pogoń Szczecin score 1.50 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce 1.33. The Ekstraklasa average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pogoń Szczecin's matches and 67% of Korona Kielce's.
What form are Pogoń Szczecin and Korona Kielce in?
Over the last 5 games Pogoń Szczecin have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Korona Kielce 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.