Polessya vs Hirnyk: match statistics
Polessya vs Hirnyk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Polessya played Hirnyk in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 18 September 2026. Venue: Tsentralnyi Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Polessya: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Hirnyk: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Polessya scores 2.33 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Hirnyk scores 1.40 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Polessya 67%, Hirnyk 80%. Over 2.5: Polessya 67%, Hirnyk 60%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Polessya has higher xG: 1.53 vs 0.81. Polessya: 12.2 shots per match, Hirnyk: 5.4.
Match halves
Polessya: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 1.17. Hirnyk: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Polessya: 31-45+ (4 goals). Hirnyk: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polessya lead the table and have won 5 of their 6 matches so far, while Hirnyk have managed just 1 win in 5 league games this season. The hosts are also in excellent current form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 3. At home, Polessya average 2.5 goals with an xG of 1.61, record 13 shots per match and enjoy 58% possession, whereas Hirnyk create significantly less away from home, averaging 6.5 shots and an xG of 1.00. The hosts’ defence restricts opponents to just 0.65 xG, while the visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match and have failed to score in 50% of their games on the road. Hirnyk can be clinical, converting 23% of their chances, but Polessya’s superiority in controlling the game, chance quality and consistency of results clearly points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS pick is primarily undermined by the league’s low-scoring profile: only 38% of matches have seen both teams score, with an average of 2.24 goals per game. In their last five matches, both teams scored in just 40% of cases, while Polessya conceded only 0.6 goals per match during that period. The hosts are in excellent form, having won their last four matches and limited opponents to an average xG of 0.73, while Hirnyk generated just 0.80 xG on average. Hirnyk failed to score in 50% of their away matches, which significantly increases the likelihood of a scenario in which at least one team fails to find the net. Although Polessya had BTTS in 100% of their home matches throughout the season, the hosts’ current defensive improvement and the visitors’ limited attacking potential support a BTTS - No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Polessya are in excellent scoring form, netting 11 goals in their last 5 matches, while conceding just 3 during that period. Hirnyk have scored 8 goals and conceded 4 in their last five games, but their average xG is only 0.80, compared with the 0.73 xG recently allowed by the hosts. The combined estimate of 2.10 goals remains below the league average of 2.24, while the Over 2.5 goals line has landed in only 40% of the teams’ last five matches. Despite Polessya’s attacking form, the solid defensive performances of both sides limit the prospect of four goals, making Under 3.5 the strongest data-backed option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Polessya have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Hirnyk have recorded a 40% win rate over the same period and conceded an average of 0.8 goals. The hosts have made strong starts to their matches: in their last five appearances, they were leading at the break in 80% of cases, scored an average of 1.0 goal before half-time and allowed their opponents just 0.2 goals. Hirnyk also frequently maintain a favourable first-half result, but in their away-season data they have yet to score before the break and went into half-time trailing in 50% of such matches. After the interval, Polessya still boast the better record in recent fixtures, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 0.4. Therefore, the most likely scenario is an HT/FT 1/1 outcome, with the hosts leading at the break and securing the final victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Polessya | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polessya is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Polessya · 1 pts / match - Hirnyk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polessya is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Polessya · 1.4 goals / match - Hirnyk
Polessya is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Polessya · 1.8 goals / match - Hirnyk
Polessya scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Hirnyk keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Hirnyk scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polessya
Over / Under - Hirnyk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polessya is 123% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.67 pts / match - Polessya · 1.2 pts / match - Hirnyk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polessya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hirnyk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Polessya
Hirnyk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Polessya | Liga | Hirnyk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.24 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 38% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Polessya 2 - 0 - 0 Hirnyk. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Polessya vs Hirnyk?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Polessya 1:0 Hirnyk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Polessya and Hirnyk?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Polessya won 2, Hirnyk won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Hirnyk?
Polessya score 2.33 goals per game on average and Hirnyk 1.40. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Polessya's matches and 80% of Hirnyk's.
What form are Polessya and Hirnyk in?
Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Hirnyk 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Hirnyk?
The statistical background for Polessya vs Hirnyk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.