Ukraine - Ukrainian Premier LeagueTsentralnyi StadionData current as of 22 October 2026

Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Polessya play Obolon-Brovar in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Tsentralnyi Stadion.

Current form

Polessya: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Obolon-Brovar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Polessya scores 2.22 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Obolon-Brovar scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Polessya 67%, Obolon-Brovar 25%. Over 2.5: Polessya 67%, Obolon-Brovar 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Polessya has higher xG: 1.34 vs 0.76. Polessya: 10.6 shots per match, Obolon-Brovar: 5.4.

Match halves

Polessya: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.11. Obolon-Brovar: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Polessya: 61-75 (5 goals). Obolon-Brovar: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ukrainian Premier League: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.23)
(5.70)
(13.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PolessyaObolon-Brovar
2.22Goals scored / match0.5
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0.89Goals conceded / match1.5
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
55%Average possession44%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
4.22Shots on target / match2.13
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.56Shots per match5.38
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
4.22Shots on target2.13
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
21.1%Shot conversion9.3%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
55%Possession44%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
1.34xG for0.76
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0.76xG against1.31
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

Shooting quality

Polessya: Efficient finishingObolon-Brovar: Balanced
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
Accuracy (shots on target)40%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.530.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polessya is 160% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Polessya · 1 pts / match - Obolon-Brovar

Polessya
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
78% W11% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-1
2.44 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 0.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Obolon-Brovar
DLLDW
Season result split
13% W50% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.78Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polessya is 344% better for: goals scored per match.

2.22 goals / match - Polessya · 0.5 goals / match - Obolon-Brovar

Polessya is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - Polessya · 1.5 goals / match - Obolon-Brovar

Polessya scoring profile: very strong

Polessya scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Obolon-Brovar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

Obolon-Brovar scoring profile: mixed

Obolon-Brovar scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Polessya keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

20Goals scored (season)4
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
8Goals conceded (season)12
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
3.11Average goals in match2
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
12Goals scored (last 5)4
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal38%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
67%2 goals13%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
33%3 goals0%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
11%4 goals0%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
22%2 goals38%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0%3 goals38%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0%4 goals13%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time0%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
11%BTTS in both halves0%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
67%Scored in both halves13%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
60%BTTS - last 540%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polessya is 165% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / match - Polessya · 0.88 pts / match - Obolon-Brovar

Polessya - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Obolon-Brovar - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)0.88
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
1.11Goals scored (1st half)0.13
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)1.13
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.25
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
56%Clean sheet before half-time63%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0%No goal before half-time88%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.63
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
1.11Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
1.56Average goals (2nd half)0.75
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
67%Clean sheet after half-time88%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar
33%No goal after half-time63%
PolessyaObolon-Brovar

Polessya - second-half results

56% W33% D11% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Obolon-Brovar - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Polessya - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.80
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Obolon-Brovar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.80.0
Average goals in match2.00.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-8+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Polessya
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Obolon-Brovar
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Polessya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.88
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Obolon-Brovar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

PolessyaLigaObolon-Brovar
Average goals in match▲ 3.112.50▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%46%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▼ 38%
Clean sheets• 33%34%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%69%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%76%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Polessya 2 - 0 - 0 Obolon-Brovar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Polessya Zhitomir
3 : 1
FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv
FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv
0 : 4
Polessya Zhitomir

FAQ

When do Polessya and Obolon-Brovar play?

Polessya face Obolon-Brovar on 23 October 2026 in Ukrainian Premier League at Tsentralnyi Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Polessya and Obolon-Brovar?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Polessya won 2, Obolon-Brovar won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar?

Polessya score 2.22 goals per game on average and Obolon-Brovar 0.50. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Polessya's matches and 25% of Obolon-Brovar's.

What form are Polessya and Obolon-Brovar in?

Over the last 5 games Polessya have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Obolon-Brovar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polessya vs Obolon-Brovar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.