Police Uganda vs SC Villa: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested matchup with a slight advantage for the hosts. Police Uganda displays solid home form with a 67% home win rate and a +8 goal difference, though their last five overall matches show a dip in form (only 1 PPG). SC Villa sits higher in the standings and stands out with excellent away defense (50% clean sheets, an average of 0.75 goals conceded), as well as better current form (1.8 PPG in the last five matches). The visitors are undefeated in their last five fixtures, confirming their stability. Taking into account Police Uganda's home advantage, alongside SC Villa's solid defense and good form, a draw seems the most probable scenario, although the hosts hold a slight edge thanks to their home-field advantage.
Police Uganda vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police Uganda played SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. SC Villa: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police Uganda scores 1.58 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. SC Villa scores 1.44 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police Uganda 68%, SC Villa 39%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 58%, SC Villa 39%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.41. Police Uganda: 11.5 shots per match, SC Villa: 9.5.
Match halves
Police Uganda: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.89. SC Villa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Police Uganda: 76-90+ (9 goals). SC Villa: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.15 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested matchup with a slight advantage for the hosts. Police Uganda displays solid home form with a 67% home win rate and a +8 goal difference, though their last five overall matches show a dip in form (only 1 PPG). SC Villa sits higher in the standings and stands out with excellent away defense (50% clean sheets, an average of 0.75 goals conceded), as well as better current form (1.8 PPG in the last five matches). The visitors are undefeated in their last five fixtures, confirming their stability. Taking into account Police Uganda's home advantage, alongside SC Villa's solid defense and good form, a draw seems the most probable scenario, although the hosts hold a slight edge thanks to their home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police Uganda | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SC Villa is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.8 pts / match - SC Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1.44 goals / match - SC Villa
SC Villa is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Police Uganda · 0.56 goals / match - SC Villa
Police Uganda scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 56% (10 of 18 matches).
SC Villa scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police Uganda
Over / Under - SC Villa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SC Villa is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Police Uganda · 1.44 pts / match - SC Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police Uganda
SC Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Police Uganda | Liga | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.15 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 41% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 36% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 37% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police Uganda 0 - 0 - 1 SC Villa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police Uganda vs SC Villa?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Police Uganda 1:0 SC Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs SC Villa?
Police Uganda score 1.58 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.44. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Police Uganda's matches and 39% of SC Villa's.
What form are Police Uganda and SC Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and SC Villa 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs SC Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.