Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 06 September 2026

Police Uganda vs UPDF: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Police Uganda vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police Uganda play UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 10 September 2026.

Current form

Police Uganda: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. UPDF: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police Uganda scores 0.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police Uganda 0%, UPDF 50%. Over 2.5: Police Uganda 0%, UPDF 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.35. Police Uganda: 11.0 shots per match, UPDF: 7.5.

Match halves

Police Uganda: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. UPDF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Police Uganda: 61-75 (1 goals). UPDF: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.5Goals scored / match0.5
Police UgandaUPDF
0.5Goals conceded / match1
Police UgandaUPDF
51%Average possession46%
Police UgandaUPDF
4Shots on target / match4
Police UgandaUPDF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match7.5
Police UgandaUPDF
4Shots on target4
Police UgandaUPDF
4.5%Shot conversion6.7%
Police UgandaUPDF
51%Possession46%
Police UgandaUPDF
1.65xG for1.35
Police UgandaUPDF
2.01xG against1.2
Police UgandaUPDF

Shooting quality

Police Uganda: BalancedUPDF: Balanced
Police UgandaUPDF
Accuracy (shots on target)36%53%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police Uganda is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.5 pts / match - Police Uganda · 0.5 pts / match - UPDF

Police Uganda
WL
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
UPDF
DL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police Uganda is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Police Uganda · 1 goals / match - UPDF

Police Uganda scoring profile: mixed

Police Uganda scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

UPDF scoring profile: mixed

UPDF scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

1Goals scored (season)1
Police UgandaUPDF
1Goals conceded (season)2
Police UgandaUPDF
1Average goals in match1.5
Police UgandaUPDF
1Goals scored (last 5)1
Police UgandaUPDF
1Goals conceded (last 5)2
Police UgandaUPDF

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%2 goals0%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%3 goals0%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaUPDF

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%2 goals50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%3 goals0%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%4 goals0%
Police UgandaUPDF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%Scored in both halves0%
Police UgandaUPDF

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%BTTS - last 550%
Police UgandaUPDF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Police UgandaUPDF

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Police UgandaUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Police UgandaUPDF

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police Uganda - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
UPDF - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1
Police UgandaUPDF
0Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Police UgandaUPDF
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Police UgandaUPDF
0Average goals (1st half)1
Police UgandaUPDF
100%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Police UgandaUPDF
100%No goal before half-time50%
Police UgandaUPDF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)0.5
Police UgandaUPDF
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0
Police UgandaUPDF
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Police UgandaUPDF
1Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Police UgandaUPDF
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Police UgandaUPDF
50%No goal after half-time100%
Police UgandaUPDF

Police Uganda - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UPDF - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police Uganda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.50
Goals scored / match0.00.5
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match0.01.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
UPDF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.50
Goals scored / match0.50.0
Goals conceded / match0.50.5
Average goals in match1.00.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police Uganda
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

UPDF
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
59%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police Uganda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

UPDF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.85
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

Police UgandaLigaUPDF
Average goals in match 1.002.13 1.50
Both teams scored 0%44% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%38% 50%
Clean sheets 50%31% 50%
Goal before half-time 0%56% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%69% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.13
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.06
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Police Uganda 2 - 0 - 0 UPDF. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Police Uganda
2 : 0
UPDF
UPDF
1 : 2
Police Uganda

FAQ

When do Police Uganda and UPDF play?

Police Uganda face UPDF on 10 September 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Police Uganda and UPDF?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Police Uganda won 2, UPDF won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Police Uganda vs UPDF?

Police Uganda score 0.50 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Police Uganda's matches and 50% of UPDF's.

What form are Police Uganda and UPDF in?

Over the last 5 games Police Uganda have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and UPDF 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police Uganda vs UPDF?

The statistical background for Police Uganda vs UPDF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.