Police vs Etincelles: match statistics
Police holds 4th place in the table and shows solid home form with 50% wins at home and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.17 goals per home match while conceding only 0.67, which indicates a stable defense. Etincelles are in 16th position with a very poor away record – only 9% wins away from home and a negative goal difference (-5). The visitors have a tendency to draw (55% draws away), but their recent form with 4 draws in 5 matches may not be enough against the stronger hosts. Considering Police's advantage in every aspect of home play and Etincelles' weakness away, a home win is the most likely scenario, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be completely ignored.
Police vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police played Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Police: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Etincelles: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police scores 0.88 and concedes 0.54 goals per match. Etincelles scores 0.71 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police 33%, Etincelles 54%. Over 2.5: Police 21%, Etincelles 25%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Etincelles has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.14. Police: 6.3 shots per match, Etincelles: 8.0.
Match halves
Police: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.42. Etincelles: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Police: 16-30 (5 goals). Etincelles: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Police holds 4th place in the table and shows solid home form with 50% wins at home and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.17 goals per home match while conceding only 0.67, which indicates a stable defense. Etincelles are in 16th position with a very poor away record – only 9% wins away from home and a negative goal difference (-5). The visitors have a tendency to draw (55% draws away), but their recent form with 4 draws in 5 matches may not be enough against the stronger hosts. Considering Police's advantage in every aspect of home play and Etincelles' weakness away, a home win is the most likely scenario, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be completely ignored.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Etincelles is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Police · 1.4 pts / match - Etincelles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Police · 0.71 goals / match - Etincelles
Police is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.54 goals / match - Police · 1.08 goals / match - Etincelles
Police scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Etincelles scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police
Over / Under - Etincelles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Police · 1.13 pts / match - Etincelles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police
Etincelles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.42 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 62% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police 1 - 0 - 0 Etincelles. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs Etincelles?
The National Soccer League match finished Police 1:1 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Etincelles?
Police score 0.88 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.71. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Police's matches and 54% of Etincelles's.
What form are Police and Etincelles in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Etincelles 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Etincelles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.