Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of 25 October 2026

Police vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Police vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police play Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 29 October 2026.

Current form

Police: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police 100%, Ulinzi Stars 33%. Over 2.5: Police 50%, Ulinzi Stars 0%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Ulinzi Stars has higher xG: 1.11 vs 0.99. Police: 7.0 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 6.3.

Match halves

Police: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Police: 31-45+ (1 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-4-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars
1.5Goals conceded / match1
PoliceUlinzi Stars
52%Average possession46%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
2Shots on target / match2.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7Shots per match6.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars
2Shots on target2.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars
14.3%Shot conversion5.3%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
52%Possession46%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0.99xG for1.11
PoliceUlinzi Stars
1.48xG against1.83
PoliceUlinzi Stars

Shooting quality

Police: Efficient finishingUlinzi Stars: Balanced
PoliceUlinzi Stars
Accuracy (shots on target)29%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ulinzi Stars is 34% better for: last-5 form.

0.5 pts / match - Police · 0.67 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars

Police
DL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 50%
Ulinzi Stars
LDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W67% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police is 203% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Police · 0.33 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars

Ulinzi Stars is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Police · 1 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars

Police scoring profile: very strong

Police scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Ulinzi Stars scoring profile: strong

Ulinzi Stars scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

2Goals scored (season)1
PoliceUlinzi Stars
3Goals conceded (season)3
PoliceUlinzi Stars
2.5Average goals in match1.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars
2Goals scored (last 5)1
PoliceUlinzi Stars
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
PoliceUlinzi Stars

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal33%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%2 goals0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%3 goals0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%4 goals0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%2 goals33%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%3 goals0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%4 goals0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%Scored in both halves0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
100%BTTS - last 533%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ulinzi Stars is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Police · 1.67 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars

Police - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Ulinzi Stars - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.67
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
PoliceUlinzi Stars
1Average goals (1st half)0.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%No goal before half-time67%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)0.33
PoliceUlinzi Stars
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0
PoliceUlinzi Stars
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
PoliceUlinzi Stars
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
PoliceUlinzi Stars
50%No goal after half-time100%
PoliceUlinzi Stars

Police - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ulinzi Stars - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.50
Goals scored / match0.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.51.0
Average goals in match1.01.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ulinzi Stars - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.670.33
Goals scored / match0.30.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.31.0
1 goal33%67%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%33%
No goal67%100%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Ulinzi Stars
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
174%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Ulinzi Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.83
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
38%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

PoliceLigaUlinzi Stars
Average goals in match▲ 2.501.90▼ 1.33
Both teams scored▲ 100%43%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%29%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%40%▼ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%38%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%71%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.05
Home goals / match
0.86
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Police 0 - 4 - 0 Ulinzi Stars. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Ulinzi Stars
1 : 1
Police
Ulinzi Stars
1 : 1
Police
Police
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Police
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars

FAQ

When do Police and Ulinzi Stars play?

Police face Ulinzi Stars on 29 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Police and Ulinzi Stars?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Police won 0, Ulinzi Stars won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Ulinzi Stars?

Police score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.33. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Police's matches and 33% of Ulinzi Stars's.

What form are Police and Ulinzi Stars in?

Over the last 5 games Police have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Ulinzi Stars?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.