Brazil - Serie BEstádio Moisés LucarelliData current as of 20 October 2026

Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ponte Preta play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli.

Current form

Ponte Preta: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Fortaleza: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ponte Preta scores 0.56 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.21 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ponte Preta 41%, Fortaleza 44%. Over 2.5: Ponte Preta 41%, Fortaleza 35%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.12. Ponte Preta: 10.2 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.1.

Match halves

Ponte Preta: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.15. Fortaleza: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Ponte Preta: 31-45+ (10 goals). Fortaleza: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(8.55)
(4.75)
(1.33)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ponte PretaFortaleza
0.56Goals scored / match1.21
Ponte PretaFortaleza
2.18Goals conceded / match0.85
Ponte PretaFortaleza
41%Average possession50%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
3.21Shots on target / match4.09
Ponte PretaFortaleza

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.15Shots per match14.09
Ponte PretaFortaleza
3.21Shots on target4.09
Ponte PretaFortaleza
5.5%Shot conversion8.6%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
41%Possession50%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
1.12xG for1.48
Ponte PretaFortaleza
1.96xG against1.41
Ponte PretaFortaleza

Shooting quality

Ponte Preta: BalancedFortaleza: Attacking
Ponte PretaFortaleza
Accuracy (shots on target)32%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza is 800% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Ponte Preta · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza

Ponte Preta
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
9% W15% D76% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-26
0.41 pts / match · goal difference -55
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-5-10
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.89Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Fortaleza
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W35% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-12-6
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-5
Last 5 away
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fortaleza is 116% better for: goals scored per match.

0.56 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 1.21 goals / match - Fortaleza

Fortaleza is 156% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.18 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 0.85 goals / match - Fortaleza

Ponte Preta scoring profile: mixed

Ponte Preta scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).

Fortaleza scoring profile: very strong

Fortaleza scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).

19Goals scored (season)41
Ponte PretaFortaleza
74Goals conceded (season)29
Ponte PretaFortaleza
2.74Average goals in match2.06
Ponte PretaFortaleza
2Goals scored (last 5)8
Ponte PretaFortaleza
12Goals conceded (last 5)5
Ponte PretaFortaleza

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal76%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
9%2 goals32%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
0%3 goals9%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
0%4 goals3%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal56%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
71%2 goals21%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
26%3 goals6%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
15%4 goals3%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time18%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
6%Scored in both halves21%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
40%BTTS - last 560%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.79 pts / match - Ponte Preta · 1.62 pts / match - Fortaleza

Ponte Preta - half-time state
18% leading26% draw56% trailing
Fortaleza - half-time state
41% leading38% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.79Points per match (1st half)1.62
Ponte PretaFortaleza
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Ponte PretaFortaleza
1.06Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Ponte PretaFortaleza
1.47Average goals (1st half)1.12
Ponte PretaFortaleza
32%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
62%No goal before half-time47%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

After half-time (2nd half)

0.41Points per match (2nd half)1.44
Ponte PretaFortaleza
0.15Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
Ponte PretaFortaleza
1.12Goals conceded (2nd half)0.35
Ponte PretaFortaleza
1.26Average goals (2nd half)0.94
Ponte PretaFortaleza
29%Clean sheet after half-time68%
Ponte PretaFortaleza
85%No goal after half-time56%
Ponte PretaFortaleza

Ponte Preta - second-half results

3% W32% D65% L
27
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-22
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-33
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fortaleza - second-half results

32% W47% D21% L
55
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ponte Preta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.20
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-5-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ponte Preta
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
3
10
16-30
10
18
31-45
3
11
46-60
1
7
61-75
1
20
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -19 - late phases are a weakness.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
6
2
16-30
11
10
31-45
6
7
46-60
3
3
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ponte Preta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
216%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Ponte PretaLigaFortaleza
Average goals in match▲ 2.742.33▼ 2.06
Both teams scored▼ 41%47%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 41%43%▼ 35%
Clean sheets▼ 9%31%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%67%▲ 74%
Goal after half-time• 74%74%▼ 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ponte Preta 0 - 0 - 1 Fortaleza. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Ponte Preta and Fortaleza play?

Ponte Preta face Fortaleza on 24 October 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza?

Ponte Preta score 0.56 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.21. The Serie B average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Ponte Preta's matches and 44% of Fortaleza's.

What form are Ponte Preta and Fortaleza in?

Over the last 5 games Ponte Preta have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fortaleza 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.