Brazil - Serie BEstádio Moisés LucarelliData current as of 13 August 2026

Ponte Preta vs Náutico: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ponte Preta vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ponte Preta play Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 14 August 2026. Venue: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli.

Current form

Ponte Preta: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Náutico: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ponte Preta scores 0.71 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. Náutico scores 1.19 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.29 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ponte Preta 52%, Náutico 38%. Over 2.5: Ponte Preta 52%, Náutico 38%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Náutico has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.20. Ponte Preta: 10.7 shots per match, Náutico: 16.3.

Match halves

Ponte Preta: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.24. Náutico: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.81.

Goals by minute

Ponte Preta: 31-45+ (6 goals). Náutico: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.40)
(3.40)
(1.99)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ponte PretaNáutico
0.71Goals scored / match1.19
Ponte PretaNáutico
1.95Goals conceded / match1.19
Ponte PretaNáutico
43%Average possession58%
Ponte PretaNáutico
3.43Shots on target / match4.33
Ponte PretaNáutico

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.67Shots per match16.33
Ponte PretaNáutico
3.43Shots on target4.33
Ponte PretaNáutico
6.7%Shot conversion7.3%
Ponte PretaNáutico
43%Possession58%
Ponte PretaNáutico
1.2xG for1.75
Ponte PretaNáutico
1.82xG against1.31
Ponte PretaNáutico

Shooting quality

Ponte Preta: BalancedNáutico: Dominant
Ponte PretaNáutico
Accuracy (shots on target)32%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Náutico is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Ponte Preta · 1 pts / match - Náutico

Ponte Preta
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
10% W14% R76% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-16
0.43 pts / match · goal difference -26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-7
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Náutico
LLWDD
Season result split
33% W24% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-9
1.24 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-5
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Náutico is 68% better for: goals scored per match.

0.71 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 1.19 goals / match - Náutico

Náutico is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.95 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 1.19 goals / match - Náutico

Ponte Preta scoring profile: strong

Ponte Preta scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

Náutico scoring profile: very strong

Náutico scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).

15Goals scored (season)25
Ponte PretaNáutico
41Goals conceded (season)25
Ponte PretaNáutico
2.67Average goals in match2.38
Ponte PretaNáutico
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Ponte PretaNáutico
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Ponte PretaNáutico

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal57%
Ponte PretaNáutico
14%2 goals29%
Ponte PretaNáutico
0%3 goals14%
Ponte PretaNáutico
0%4 goals10%
Ponte PretaNáutico

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal71%
Ponte PretaNáutico
67%2 goals33%
Ponte PretaNáutico
29%3 goals10%
Ponte PretaNáutico
10%4 goals5%
Ponte PretaNáutico

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time10%
Ponte PretaNáutico
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Ponte PretaNáutico
10%Scored in both halves24%
Ponte PretaNáutico

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Ponte PretaNáutico
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Ponte PretaNáutico
80%BTTS - last 560%
Ponte PretaNáutico

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Ponte PretaNáutico
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Ponte PretaNáutico
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Ponte PretaNáutico

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Ponte PretaNáutico
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Ponte PretaNáutico
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Ponte PretaNáutico

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Náutico is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / match - Ponte Preta · 1.05 pts / match - Náutico

Ponte Preta - half-time state
14% leading33% draw52% trailing
Náutico - half-time state
24% leading33% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per match (1st half)1.05
Ponte PretaNáutico
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Ponte PretaNáutico
0.95Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
Ponte PretaNáutico
1.43Average goals (1st half)1
Ponte PretaNáutico
29%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Ponte PretaNáutico
57%No goal before half-time71%
Ponte PretaNáutico

After half-time (2nd half)

0.52Points per match (2nd half)1.48
Ponte PretaNáutico
0.24Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
Ponte PretaNáutico
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Ponte PretaNáutico
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Ponte PretaNáutico
33%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Ponte PretaNáutico
76%No goal after half-time48%
Ponte PretaNáutico

Ponte Preta - second-half results

5% W38% R57% P
16
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-16
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding71%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Náutico - second-half results

38% W33% R29% P
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ponte Preta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Náutico - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ponte Preta
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
3
6
16-30
6
10
31-45
3
7
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Náutico
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
6
3
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ponte Preta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
193%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

Náutico

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Ponte PretaLigaNáutico
Average goals in match 2.672.29 2.38
Both teams scored 52%48% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%41% 38%
Clean sheets 10%31% 29%
Goal before half-time 81%66% 67%
Goal after half-time 71%74% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.29
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ponte Preta 0 - 0 - 1 Náutico. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Ponte Preta and Náutico play?

Ponte Preta face Náutico on 14 August 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ponte Preta vs Náutico?

Ponte Preta score 0.71 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.19. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ponte Preta's matches and 38% of Náutico's.

What form are Ponte Preta and Náutico in?

Over the last 5 games Ponte Preta have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Náutico 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ponte Preta vs Náutico?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ponte Preta vs Náutico: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.