Porto II vs Paços de Ferreira: match statistics
Porto II presents decidedly better home form with 55% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) compared to the disastrous results of Paços de Ferreira away (-9 in balance). The hosts have scored 10 goals and won 3 matches in the last 5 games, while the guests scored just 4 goals and concede an average of 1.5 goals per away match in the same period. Paços de Ferreira fails to gain points in as many as 60% of away matches, which puts them in a very unfavorable situation given only 20% wins on foreign grounds. The xG data also favors Porto II (1.21 vs 1.05), and their higher efficiency (12% vs 6%) and greater number of shots on target (3.91 vs 2.5) further speak for a home victory. The table position (8th place Porto II vs 18th place Paços) confirms the hosts' advantage in this clash.
Porto II vs Paços de Ferreira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Porto II played Paços de Ferreira in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 23 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Porto II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Paços de Ferreira: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Porto II scores 1.23 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira scores 0.95 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Porto II 50%, Paços de Ferreira 48%. Over 2.5: Porto II 50%, Paços de Ferreira 57%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Paços de Ferreira has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.25. Porto II: 10.5 shots per match, Paços de Ferreira: 12.0.
Match halves
Porto II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.68. Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Porto II: 46-60 (8 goals). Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Porto II presents decidedly better home form with 55% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) compared to the disastrous results of Paços de Ferreira away (-9 in balance). The hosts have scored 10 goals and won 3 matches in the last 5 games, while the guests scored just 4 goals and concede an average of 1.5 goals per away match in the same period. Paços de Ferreira fails to gain points in as many as 60% of away matches, which puts them in a very unfavorable situation given only 20% wins on foreign grounds. The xG data also favors Porto II (1.21 vs 1.05), and their higher efficiency (12% vs 6%) and greater number of shots on target (3.91 vs 2.5) further speak for a home victory. The table position (8th place Porto II vs 18th place Paços) confirms the hosts' advantage in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Porto II | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Porto II is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Porto II · 1.4 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Porto II is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Porto II · 0.95 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira
Porto II is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Porto II · 1.48 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira
Porto II scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Paços de Ferreira scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Porto II keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Porto II
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Porto II is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Porto II · 1 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Porto II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Porto II
Paços de Ferreira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Porto II | Liga | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.48 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Porto II 0 - 1 - 0 Paços de Ferreira. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Porto II vs Paços de Ferreira?
The LigaPro match finished Porto II 1:0 Paços de Ferreira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Porto II vs Paços de Ferreira?
Porto II score 1.23 goals per game on average and Paços de Ferreira 0.95. The LigaPro average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Porto II's matches and 48% of Paços de Ferreira's.
What form are Porto II and Paços de Ferreira in?
Over the last 5 games Porto II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Paços de Ferreira 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Porto II vs Paços de Ferreira?
The statistical background for Porto II vs Paços de Ferreira — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


