England - ChampionshipFratton ParkData current as of 21 October 2026

Portsmouth vs Millwall: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Portsmouth vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Portsmouth play Millwall in Championship (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Fratton Park.

Current form

Portsmouth: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Millwall: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Portsmouth scores 1.27 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.64 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Portsmouth 55%, Millwall 45%. Over 2.5: Portsmouth 45%, Millwall 73%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Portsmouth has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.53. Portsmouth: 15.3 shots per match, Millwall: 14.3.

Match halves

Portsmouth: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Millwall: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Portsmouth: 0-15 (3 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.60)
(3.30)
(2.62)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PortsmouthMillwall
1.27Goals scored / match1.64
PortsmouthMillwall
1.27Goals conceded / match1.64
PortsmouthMillwall
53%Average possession48%
PortsmouthMillwall
4Shots on target / match4.18
PortsmouthMillwall

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.27Shots per match14.27
PortsmouthMillwall
4Shots on target4.18
PortsmouthMillwall
8.3%Shot conversion11.5%
PortsmouthMillwall
53%Possession48%
PortsmouthMillwall
1.59xG for1.53
PortsmouthMillwall
1.27xG against1.42
PortsmouthMillwall

Shooting quality

Portsmouth: AttackingMillwall: Attacking
PortsmouthMillwall
Accuracy (shots on target)26%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Portsmouth is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Portsmouth · 1.2 pts / match - Millwall

Portsmouth
DLWWD
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-4
1.36 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Millwall
DDWLD
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-4
1.36 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Millwall is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.27 goals / match - Portsmouth · 1.64 goals / match - Millwall

Portsmouth is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.27 goals / match - Portsmouth · 1.64 goals / match - Millwall

Portsmouth scoring profile: strong

Portsmouth scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Portsmouth keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

14Goals scored (season)18
PortsmouthMillwall
14Goals conceded (season)18
PortsmouthMillwall
2.55Average goals in match3.27
PortsmouthMillwall
7Goals scored (last 5)7
PortsmouthMillwall
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
PortsmouthMillwall

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal82%
PortsmouthMillwall
36%2 goals55%
PortsmouthMillwall
18%3 goals18%
PortsmouthMillwall
0%4 goals9%
PortsmouthMillwall

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal64%
PortsmouthMillwall
45%2 goals55%
PortsmouthMillwall
9%3 goals27%
PortsmouthMillwall
0%4 goals9%
PortsmouthMillwall

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time9%
PortsmouthMillwall
9%BTTS in both halves0%
PortsmouthMillwall
36%Scored in both halves27%
PortsmouthMillwall

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
PortsmouthMillwall
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
PortsmouthMillwall
60%BTTS - last 560%
PortsmouthMillwall

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
PortsmouthMillwall
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
PortsmouthMillwall
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
PortsmouthMillwall

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PortsmouthMillwall
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time73%
PortsmouthMillwall
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
PortsmouthMillwall

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millwall is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Portsmouth · 1.55 pts / match - Millwall

Portsmouth - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing
Millwall - half-time state
45% leading18% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.55
PortsmouthMillwall
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.73
PortsmouthMillwall
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
PortsmouthMillwall
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.27
PortsmouthMillwall
45%Clean sheet before half-time64%
PortsmouthMillwall
55%No goal before half-time45%
PortsmouthMillwall

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)1.36
PortsmouthMillwall
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
PortsmouthMillwall
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)1.09
PortsmouthMillwall
1.27Average goals (2nd half)2
PortsmouthMillwall
55%Clean sheet after half-time45%
PortsmouthMillwall
36%No goal after half-time45%
PortsmouthMillwall

Portsmouth - second-half results

27% W64% D9% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Millwall - second-half results

45% W0% D55% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Portsmouth - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Millwall - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Portsmouth
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
4
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Portsmouth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

PortsmouthLigaMillwall
Average goals in match▼ 2.552.88▲ 3.27
Both teams scored▼ 55%64%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 45%61%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▲ 27%21%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%77%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Portsmouth 2 - 0 - 0 Millwall. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Portsmouth and Millwall play?

Portsmouth face Millwall on 24 October 2026 in Championship at Fratton Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Millwall?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 2, Millwall won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Portsmouth score 1.27 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.64. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Portsmouth's matches and 45% of Millwall's.

What form are Portsmouth and Millwall in?

Over the last 5 games Portsmouth have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Millwall 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

The statistical background for Portsmouth vs Millwall — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.