Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers: match statistics

Queens Park Rangers are showing clearly stronger current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and collected 10 points, while Portsmouth have won just once, earning 5 points. The visitors have scored 14 goals during this period—an average of 2.8 per match—compared with Portsmouth’s 6 goals, highlighting a significant difference in attacking efficiency. QPR’s defence has also looked more solid, conceding 6 goals in five matches, while the hosts have let in as many as 10. Portsmouth occupy a marginally higher position in the table, 13th compared with 15th, but the teams’ current momentum clearly favours the visitors. The hosts are nevertheless capable of scoring, so a draw remains a realistic alternative, although a QPR victory is more likely.

Recent form points towards goals at both ends: Portsmouth had BTTS - Yes in 80% of their last 5 matches, while QPR recorded it in 60%. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, whereas QPR scored as many as 2.8 goals per match while conceding 1.2. The visitors’ attack looks particularly dangerous, with an average xG of 1.70, while Portsmouth allowed opponents 1.44 xG per game. However, the BTTS scenario holds only a moderate edge, as Portsmouth created just 1.03 xG and QPR’s defence allowed opponents only 0.78 xG, leaving a genuine risk of a home clean sheet or a defensive struggle resulting in no goal for the hosts.

Portsmouth’s last five matches produced an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, indicating clear defensive vulnerability at home. QPR are in a significantly better attacking rhythm, having scored 14 goals in five matches, or 2.8 per game, with an average xG of 1.70. The visitors conceded just 1.2 goals per match during this period, while their xG against was only 0.78. Therefore, Portsmouth’s projected goal output remains moderate, at around 1.05. Nevertheless, both teams had at least three goals in 60% of their matches, and Over 1.5 goals should land primarily due to QPR’s attacking strength and the hosts’ defensive weakness.

Queens Park Rangers have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals, while Portsmouth have won only once and conceded an average of 2.0 goals. The visitors were leading at the break in 40% of these matches, while the hosts were also trailing at half-time in 40%, reinforcing the scenario of QPR taking the lead before the interval. After the break, QPR scored an average of 1.8 goals and did not lose any of the five second halves, whereas Portsmouth scored only 0.6 goals during this period. Therefore, the most likely outcome is an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors take the lead in the first half and hold on to it until the final whistle: 2/2.