Posta Rangers vs Mathare United: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a close contest with a slight advantage for the hosts. Posta Rangers show solid form at home with 67% draws and only one defeat, recording a positive goal difference (+3) and averaging 1.5 goals per match. In away matches, Mathare United is characterized by defensive stability (56% clean sheets, averaging 0.56 goals conceded) but struggles offensively (56% of matches without scoring, averaging 0.44 goals). The recent form of both teams is similar (Posta 1.6 PPG, Mathare 1.4 PPG), which further supports a draw outcome. The low scoring efficiency of both sides and the defensive organization of the visitors suggest a low-tempo match where a draw is the most likely result, although the hosts have a chance to leverage their home advantage.
Posta Rangers vs Mathare United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Posta Rangers played Mathare United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Posta Rangers: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Mathare United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Posta Rangers scores 0.88 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Mathare United scores 0.59 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Posta Rangers 41%, Mathare United 18%. Over 2.5: Posta Rangers 41%, Mathare United 12%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Mathare United has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.32. Posta Rangers: 9.5 shots per match, Mathare United: 12.8.
Match halves
Posta Rangers: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.24. Mathare United: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.24.
Goals by minute
Posta Rangers: 0-15 (5 goals). Mathare United: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.95 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a close contest with a slight advantage for the hosts. Posta Rangers show solid form at home with 67% draws and only one defeat, recording a positive goal difference (+3) and averaging 1.5 goals per match. In away matches, Mathare United is characterized by defensive stability (56% clean sheets, averaging 0.56 goals conceded) but struggles offensively (56% of matches without scoring, averaging 0.44 goals). The recent form of both teams is similar (Posta 1.6 PPG, Mathare 1.4 PPG), which further supports a draw outcome. The low scoring efficiency of both sides and the defensive organization of the visitors suggest a low-tempo match where a draw is the most likely result, although the hosts have a chance to leverage their home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Posta Rangers | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mathare United is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Posta Rangers · 1.4 pts / match - Mathare United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Posta Rangers is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Posta Rangers · 0.59 goals / match - Mathare United
Mathare United is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Posta Rangers · 0.82 goals / match - Mathare United
Posta Rangers scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Mathare United scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Posta Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Posta Rangers
Over / Under - Mathare United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Posta Rangers is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Posta Rangers · 1.06 pts / match - Mathare United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Posta Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Posta Rangers
Mathare United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Posta Rangers | Liga | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.06 | 1.95 | ▼ 1.41 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 42% | ▼ 18% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 31% | ▼ 12% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 37% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 41% | 35% | ▲ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Posta Rangers 1 - 0 - 0 Mathare United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Posta Rangers vs Mathare United?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Posta Rangers 1:1 Mathare United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Posta Rangers vs Mathare United?
Posta Rangers score 0.88 goals per game on average and Mathare United 0.59. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Posta Rangers's matches and 18% of Mathare United's.
What form are Posta Rangers and Mathare United in?
Over the last 5 games Posta Rangers have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mathare United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Posta Rangers vs Mathare United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Posta Rangers vs Mathare United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.