Preston North End vs Derby County: match statistics
Preston North End is demonstrating solid home form with 46% wins and only 15% losses at their own stadium, sitting high in 4th place in the table. The hosts possess a positive home goal difference of +7 and capitalize on chances effectively with a 13% shot conversion rate. Derby County is earning only 0.8 points per game in their last five matches, losing 3 of those 5, which indicates a clear crisis in form. On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.25 goals, and their xG Against (1.65) significantly exceeds their xG For (0.95), pointing to defensive issues and a lower quality of created chances. Given the hosts' advantage in form, home statistics, and Derby's poor recent disposition, Preston North End has clear chances of securing a victory.
Preston North End vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Preston North End play Derby County in Championship (England). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Preston North End: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Derby County: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Preston North End scores 1.20 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.46 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Preston North End 59%, Derby County 65%. Over 2.5: Preston North End 48%, Derby County 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Preston North End has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.25. Preston North End: 10.9 shots per match, Derby County: 11.0.
Match halves
Preston North End: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61. Derby County: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Preston North End: 76-90+ (12 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Preston North End is demonstrating solid home form with 46% wins and only 15% losses at their own stadium, sitting high in 4th place in the table. The hosts possess a positive home goal difference of +7 and capitalize on chances effectively with a 13% shot conversion rate. Derby County is earning only 0.8 points per game in their last five matches, losing 3 of those 5, which indicates a clear crisis in form. On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.25 goals, and their xG Against (1.65) significantly exceeds their xG For (0.95), pointing to defensive issues and a lower quality of created chances. Given the hosts' advantage in form, home statistics, and Derby's poor recent disposition, Preston North End has clear chances of securing a victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Preston North End | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Preston North End · 1.46 goals / match - Derby County
Derby County is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Preston North End · 1.28 goals / match - Derby County
Preston North End scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Preston North End
Over / Under — Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Preston North End · 1.52 pts / match - Derby County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Preston North End - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Preston North End
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Preston North End | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Preston North End 1 - 0 - 0 Derby County. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Preston North End vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Preston North End 0:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Preston North End vs Derby County?
Preston North End score 1.20 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.46. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Preston North End's matches and 65% of Derby County's.
What form are Preston North End and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Preston North End have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Derby County 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Preston North End vs Derby County?
The statistical background for Preston North End vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.