Preston North End vs Millwall: match statistics
Preston North End vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Preston North End played Millwall in Championship (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Deepdale. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Preston North End: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Millwall: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Preston North End scores 1.00 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.88 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Preston North End 75%, Millwall 50%. Over 2.5: Preston North End 75%, Millwall 88%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.36. Preston North End: 13.0 shots per match, Millwall: 15.0.
Match halves
Preston North End: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Millwall: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Preston North End: 0-15 (3 goals). Millwall: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millwall hold the advantage in the table, sitting 12th compared with Preston in 23rd, and have scored 15 goals this season against the hosts’ 8. Away from home, the visitors average 1.5 goals and generate an xG of 1.60, while Preston record 1 goal and 1.38 xG per game at home. The hosts have lost 3 of their 4 home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of them, increasing Millwall’s chances of scoring. However, an away win is not a foregone conclusion: Millwall concede an average of 2.5 goals on the road, while Preston generate 1.38 xG per match at home. Both teams have won only once in their last 5 league matches, but Millwall have scored 9 goals compared with Preston’s 6, making an away win the pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of Preston’s games and 60% of Millwall’s, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. Millwall averaged 1.8 goals scored over this period, while Preston conceded 1.8; Preston, in turn, scored 1.2 goals, while Millwall conceded 1.6. Additionally, Millwall failed to score in none of the away matches included, and its average away xG is 1.60. Preston’s home record calls for caution: both teams scored in only 25% of its home matches, while the hosts kept a clean sheet in 50%. Despite this, the recent scoring form of both sides and the fact that 75% of Millwall’s away matches featured goals for both teams give the edge to the BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In the teams’ previous meetings, at least 2 goals have always been scored, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal, although the sample size is small. Preston score an average of 2.25 goals at home, while Millwall concede 2.5 goals away, pointing to goals for the hosts. The visitors average 1.5 goals scored away, and their xG is 1.60 compared with the 1.26 xG conceded by Preston, so they could also get on the scoresheet. Over 2.5 landed in 80% of both teams’ last 5 matches, but with a projected total of 3.40 goals, the 1.5 line offers a clearly greater margin of safety than higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Preston led at the break in 3 of their 4 analyzed home matches and conceded an average of just 0.25 goals in the first half, while Millwall were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 4 away games. The hosts score an average of 2.25 goals per home match, while the visitors concede 2.5 on the road, supporting the likelihood that Preston will maintain their advantage after the break. In second halves, Preston scored an average of 1.25 goals at home, while Millwall conceded 1.75 away. Recent form tempers confidence in the pick: Preston scored just 0.2 goals per game after half-time across their five most recent matches. Even so, the combination of the hosts’ frequent half-time leads and Millwall’s weak away defence makes 1/1 the most likely single HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Preston North End | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Preston North End · 1 pts / match - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Preston North End · 1.88 goals / match - Millwall
Preston North End scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Millwall scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Preston North End
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Preston North End · 1.88 pts / match - Millwall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Preston North End - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Preston North End
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Preston North End | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 63% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Preston North End 0 - 1 - 1 Millwall. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Preston North End vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Preston North End 0:1 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Preston North End and Millwall?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Preston North End won 0, Millwall won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Preston North End vs Millwall?
Preston North End score 1.00 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.88. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Preston North End's matches and 50% of Millwall's.
What form are Preston North End and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Preston North End have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Millwall 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Preston North End vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Preston North End vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.