Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque Abraham PaladinoData current as of 28 October 2026

Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Progreso play Defensor Sporting in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 1 November 2026. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.

Current form

Progreso: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Defensor Sporting: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Progreso scores 0.91 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Defensor Sporting scores 0.97 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.38 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Progreso 44%, Defensor Sporting 56%. Over 2.5: Progreso 41%, Defensor Sporting 35%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Defensor Sporting has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.19. Progreso: 8.7 shots per match, Defensor Sporting: 11.1.

Match halves

Progreso: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56. Defensor Sporting: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Progreso: 76-90+ (13 goals). Defensor Sporting: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.47)
(3.08)
(2.58)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.91Goals scored / match0.97
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.38Goals conceded / match1.26
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
46%Average possession52%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3.56Shots on target / match3.82
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.71Shots per match11.12
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3.56Shots on target3.82
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
10.5%Shot conversion8.7%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
46%Possession52%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.19xG for1.42
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.51xG against1.55
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Shooting quality

Progreso: BalancedDefensor Sporting: Balanced
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
Accuracy (shots on target)41%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Progreso is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Progreso · 0.8 pts / match - Defensor Sporting

Progreso
WLDWW
Season result split
29% W15% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-19
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-9
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Defensor Sporting
WLLLD
Season result split
24% W35% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-12-14
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-8-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Defensor Sporting is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

0.91 goals / match - Progreso · 0.97 goals / match - Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Progreso · 1.26 goals / match - Defensor Sporting

Progreso scoring profile: strong

Progreso scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Defensor Sporting scoring profile: very strong

Defensor Sporting scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

31Goals scored (season)33
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
47Goals conceded (season)43
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
2.29Average goals in match2.24
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
8Goals scored (last 5)8
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal71%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
26%2 goals24%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3%3 goals3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0%4 goals0%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal76%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
44%2 goals29%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
12%3 goals18%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0%4 goals3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
Defensor Sporting - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 34 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time29%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
6%BTTS in both halves3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
18%Scored in both halves21%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
60%BTTS - last 560%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Defensor Sporting is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Progreso · 1.09 pts / match - Defensor Sporting

Progreso - half-time state
21% leading38% draw41% trailing
Defensor Sporting - half-time state
18% leading56% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.09
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.47
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.06
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
68%No goal before half-time56%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)1.26
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.18
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
41%Clean sheet after half-time56%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
53%No goal after half-time53%
ProgresoDefensor Sporting

Progreso - second-half results

21% W44% D35% L
34
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Defensor Sporting - second-half results

29% W38% D32% L
37
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Progreso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Defensor Sporting - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
4
8
16-30
3
8
31-45
4
6
46-60
2
7
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Defensor Sporting
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
7
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
3
61-75
7
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.26
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.97
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Defensor Sporting

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ProgresoLigaDefensor Sporting
Average goals in match• 2.292.38▼ 2.24
Both teams scored▼ 44%50%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 41%44%▼ 35%
Clean sheets▼ 18%29%▼ 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%67%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%73%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Progreso 1 - 0 - 2 Defensor Sporting. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Defensor Sporting
1 : 0
Progreso
Club Atlético Progreso
2 : 3
Defensor Sporting Club
Defensor Sporting Club
1 : 2
Club Atlético Progreso

FAQ

When do Progreso and Defensor Sporting play?

Progreso face Defensor Sporting on 1 November 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Defensor Sporting?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1, Defensor Sporting won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

Progreso score 0.91 goals per game on average and Defensor Sporting 0.97. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Progreso's matches and 56% of Defensor Sporting's.

What form are Progreso and Defensor Sporting in?

Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Defensor Sporting 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.