Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
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Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Progreso play Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 18 July 2026 at 17:30. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.
Current form
Progreso: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.80 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 45%, Deportivo Maldonado 65%. Over 2.5: Progreso 45%, Deportivo Maldonado 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.18. Progreso: 8.6 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 11.6.
Match halves
Progreso: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.45. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Progreso · 2.2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Progreso · 1.8 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Progreso · 1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Progreso
Over / Under — Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Progreso · 1.95 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Progreso 0 - 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado play?
Progreso face Deportivo Maldonado on 18 July 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Progreso score 0.80 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.80. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Progreso's matches and 65% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The statistical background for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.