Progreso vs Racing: match statistics
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Progreso vs Racing: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Progreso play Racing in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.
Current form
Progreso: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Racing: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.79 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Racing scores 1.21 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 41%, Racing 45%. Over 2.5: Progreso 41%, Racing 28%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Racing has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.18. Progreso: 8.7 shots per match, Racing: 13.1.
Match halves
Progreso: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.45. Racing: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 76-90+ (9 goals). Racing: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 25%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Racing | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Progreso is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Progreso · 1.6 pts / match - Racing
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Racing is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Progreso · 1.21 goals / match - Racing
Racing is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Progreso · 0.76 goals / match - Racing
Progreso scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
Racing scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Progreso
Over / Under - Racing
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Progreso · 1.55 pts / match - Racing
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Progreso
Racing
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Racing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.38 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 44% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Progreso 0 - 2 - 2 Racing. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
When do Progreso and Racing play?
Progreso face Racing on 26 September 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Racing?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Progreso won 0, Racing won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Racing?
Progreso score 0.79 goals per game on average and Racing 1.21. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Progreso's matches and 45% of Racing's.
What form are Progreso and Racing in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Racing 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Racing?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.