PSMS vs Sumsel United: match statistics
The match promises to be a close encounter between two teams with similar offensive efficiency. PSMS displays solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+4), yet recent matches show some instability. Sumsel United, despite their higher league position, performs weaker away (only 33% wins) and concedes on average more goals (1.11 per match) than PSMS at home (0.78). Both teams have an identical average of goals scored in their matches (1.22), as well as a similar percentage of matches without a goal scored (22%). Taking into account the home advantage of the hosts and the unstable away form of the visitors, along with the quality of Sumsel United, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
PSMS vs Sumsel United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSMS play Sumsel United in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
PSMS: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Sumsel United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSMS scores 1.22 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Sumsel United scores 1.48 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSMS 63%, Sumsel United 59%. Over 2.5: PSMS 37%, Sumsel United 48%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
PSMS has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.23. PSMS: 9.4 shots per match, Sumsel United: 8.4.
Match halves
PSMS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Sumsel United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
PSMS: 0-15 (8 goals). Sumsel United: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 2: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
The match promises to be a close encounter between two teams with similar offensive efficiency. PSMS displays solid home form with a 56% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+4), yet recent matches show some instability. Sumsel United, despite their higher league position, performs weaker away (only 33% wins) and concedes on average more goals (1.11 per match) than PSMS at home (0.78). Both teams have an identical average of goals scored in their matches (1.22), as well as a similar percentage of matches without a goal scored (22%). Taking into account the home advantage of the hosts and the unstable away form of the visitors, along with the quality of Sumsel United, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSMS | Sumsel United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSMS is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - PSMS · 1 pts / match - Sumsel United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumsel United is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - PSMS · 1.48 goals / match - Sumsel United
PSMS is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - PSMS · 1.22 goals / match - Sumsel United
PSMS scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Sumsel United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Sumsel United scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while PSMS keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — PSMS
Over / Under — Sumsel United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSMS is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - PSMS · 1.26 pts / match - Sumsel United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSMS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sumsel United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSMS
Sumsel United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).
Teams vs league
| PSMS | Liga | Sumsel United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.79 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 49% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): PSMS 1 - 0 - 1 Sumsel United. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSMS vs Sumsel United?
The Liga 2 match finished PSMS 3:1 Sumsel United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between PSMS and Sumsel United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches PSMS won 1, Sumsel United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before PSMS vs Sumsel United?
PSMS score 1.22 goals per game on average and Sumsel United 1.48. The Liga 2 average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 63% of PSMS's matches and 59% of Sumsel United's.
What form are PSMS and Sumsel United in?
Over the last 5 games PSMS have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sumsel United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSMS vs Sumsel United?
The statistical background for PSMS vs Sumsel United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.