PSV vs NAC Breda: match statistics
PSV is the clear favorite for this match, sitting in first place with an impressive record of 17 wins in 19 season matches. The hosts display dominant form at home with a 78% win rate, averaging 3.44 goals per match while conceding just 1.56. NAC Breda is in the relegation zone in 17th position, having not won a single away match this season (0% success rate) and conceding an average of 1.78 goals on the road. The quality gap is also confirmed by xG statistics – PSV generates 2.32 xG at home compared to NAC's 1.39 xG away, with the visitors failing to score in 56% of their away matches. The form of both teams in the last five games (PSV: 2.4 points per match, NAC: 0.4 points per match) further supports a certain victory for the league leaders.
PSV vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSV played NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
PSV: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. NAC Breda: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSV scores 3.11 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.00 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSV 68%, NAC Breda 53%. Over 2.5: PSV 79%, NAC Breda 53%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
PSV has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.43. PSV: 17.5 shots per match, NAC Breda: 13.4.
Match halves
PSV: half-time lead 68%, second-half goals 1.42. NAC Breda: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
PSV: 16-30 (13 goals). NAC Breda: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV is the clear favorite for this match, sitting in first place with an impressive record of 17 wins in 19 season matches. The hosts display dominant form at home with a 78% win rate, averaging 3.44 goals per match while conceding just 1.56. NAC Breda is in the relegation zone in 17th position, having not won a single away match this season (0% success rate) and conceding an average of 1.78 goals on the road. The quality gap is also confirmed by xG statistics – PSV generates 2.32 xG at home compared to NAC's 1.39 xG away, with the visitors failing to score in 56% of their away matches. The form of both teams in the last five games (PSV: 2.4 points per match, NAC: 0.4 points per match) further supports a certain victory for the league leaders.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV is 650% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - PSV · 0.4 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 211% better for: goals scored per match.
3.11 goals / match - PSV · 1 goals / match - NAC Breda
PSV is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - PSV · 1.58 goals / match - NAC Breda
PSV scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 138% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.26 pts / match - PSV · 0.95 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 68% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSV
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.32 | 3.27 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 19% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSV 1 - 0 - 0 NAC Breda. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 2:2 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs NAC Breda?
PSV score 3.11 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.00. The Eredivisie average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 68% of PSV's matches and 53% of NAC Breda's.
What form are PSV and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and NAC Breda 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for PSV vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.